Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (3 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
- 1X2 — Marumo Gallants — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 2-1 — N/A
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Marumo Gallants attacking xG significantly stronger (1.05 vs 0.48)
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Marumo Gallants 1.05 — Chippa United 0.48
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Oct 19, 2025 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Marumo Gallants win · 2–1
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Premier Soccer League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 69 |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 68 |
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 54 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Sekhukhune United | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 |
| 6 | Golden Arrows | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 |
| 7 | Polokwane City | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Durban City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 |
| 9 | Stellenbosch | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37 |
| 10 | Siwelele | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 37 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 34 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 |
| 13 | Chippa United | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 14 | Marumo Gallants | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 25 |
| 15 | Magesi | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 |
| 16 | Orbit College | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 24 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 30 | 58 | 12 | +46 | 69 |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 30 | 57 | 21 | +36 | 68 |
| 3 | Golden Arrows | 30 | 34 | 33 | +1 | 41 |
| 4 | Kaizer Chiefs | 30 | 33 | 19 | +14 | 54 |
| 5 | Sekhukhune United | 30 | 32 | 27 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 | Amazulu | 30 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 47 |
| 7 | TS Galaxy | 30 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 | Stellenbosch | 30 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | Durban City | 30 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Siwelele | 30 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Magesi | 30 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 24 |
| 12 | Chippa United | 30 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 28 |
| 13 | Richards Bay | 30 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Polokwane City | 30 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 40 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 30 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Orbit College | 30 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 24 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 30 | 20.7 | 10.5 | +10.2 | 54 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 30 | 16.4 | 7.7 | +8.7 | 69 |
| 3 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 30 | 19.2 | 11.2 | +8.0 | 68 |
| 4 | Magesi | 30 | 16.1 | 13.2 | +2.9 | 24 |
| 5 | Sekhukhune United | 30 | 16.9 | 14.2 | +2.7 | 44 |
| 6 | Durban City | 30 | 15.7 | 13.6 | +2.1 | 39 |
| 7 | Polokwane City | 30 | 14.0 | 12.2 | +1.8 | 40 |
| 8 | Stellenbosch | 30 | 15.0 | 14.6 | +0.4 | 37 |
| 9 | Richards Bay | 30 | 14.7 | 15.4 | -0.7 | 34 |
| 10 | Siwelele | 30 | 14.2 | 15.8 | -1.6 | 37 |
| 11 | Marumo Gallants | 30 | 11.8 | 15.6 | -3.8 | 25 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 30 | 16.6 | 21.2 | -4.6 | 32 |
| 13 | Golden Arrows | 30 | 15.2 | 20.4 | -5.2 | 41 |
| 14 | Amazulu | 30 | 12.8 | 18.1 | -5.3 | 47 |
| 15 | Orbit College | 30 | 12.2 | 19.1 | -6.9 | 24 |
| 16 | Chippa United | 30 | 11.4 | 20.4 | -9.0 | 28 |