Predictions / Football / France. National 3 - Group G / Orléans II vs Romorantin

Prediction Audit: Orléans II vs Romorantin Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Orléans II Orléans II
Mar 14, 2026 - 17:30
2 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 70%
Romorantin Romorantin

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 2–2).

The model had projected Orléans II at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Orléans II Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 4 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Orléans II; match finished Draw
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 2–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Orléans II 1.45 — Romorantin 1.25
  2. Mar 14, 2026 · 17:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 2–2
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 02:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2561678

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Orléans II 2–2 Romorantin
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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National 3 - Group G National 3 - Group G — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Hauts Lyonnais 26 17 7 2 58
2 Mâcon 26 16 6 4 54
3 Dijon II 26 10 10 6 40
4 Romorantin 26 9 10 7 37
5 Orléans II 26 10 6 10 36
6 Auxerre II 26 9 8 9 35
7 Saran Municipal 26 9 7 10 34
8 Vierzon FC 26 10 3 13 33
9 Feurs 26 7 11 8 32
10 Chamalières 26 8 6 12 30
11 Saint-Étienne II 26 7 9 10 30
12 Moulins-Yzeure Foot 03 26 7 8 11 29
13 Jura Sud Foot 26 7 5 14 26
14 Union Cosnoise 26 4 8 14 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Mâcon 26 52 23 +29 54
2 Hauts Lyonnais 26 48 20 +28 58
3 Dijon II 26 44 35 +9 40
4 Romorantin 26 42 30 +12 37
5 Saran Municipal 26 42 45 -3 34
6 Feurs 26 42 46 -4 32
7 Vierzon FC 26 42 53 -11 33
8 Orléans II 26 39 37 +2 36
9 Chamalières 26 33 35 -2 30
10 Auxerre II 26 31 31 0 35
11 Saint-Étienne II 26 28 35 -7 30
12 Union Cosnoise 26 26 44 -18 20
13 Moulins-Yzeure Foot 03 26 26 45 -19 29
14 Jura Sud Foot 26 25 41 -16 26