Prediction Audit: Beauvais vs Blois Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jan 17, 2026 - 17:00
2 0.74
0 0.61
xG Accuracy: 60%

The model missed the final outcome (Beauvais win 2–0).

The model had projected Draw at 42.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Draw Beauvais ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Low-scoring profile materialised (ΣxG 1.35, 2 goals)
  • Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Draw; match finished Beauvais

Market lesson

The full-time result was Beauvais win 2–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Beauvais 0.74 — Blois 0.61
  2. Jan 17, 2026 · 17:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Beauvais win · 2–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 03:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2565375

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Beauvais win · Beauvais 2–0 Blois
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Back to Predictions
National 2 - Group B National 2 - Group B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Thionville Lusitanos 30 18 6 6 60
2 Bourges Foot 18 30 14 10 6 52
3 Haguenau 30 14 9 7 51
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 12 10 8 46
5 Furiani-Agliani 30 13 6 11 45
6 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 30 12 6 12 42
7 Dieppe 30 11 8 11 41
8 Bastia-Borgo 30 11 7 12 40
9 Epinal 30 11 7 12 40
10 Biesheim 30 10 10 10 39
11 Colmar 30 9 11 10 37
12 Beauvais 30 9 11 10 35
13 Wasquehal 30 10 4 16 34
14 Chambly Thelle FC 30 9 10 11 34
15 Chantilly 30 6 9 15 27
16 Blois 30 7 4 19 25
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Thionville Lusitanos 30 53 36 +17 60
2 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 30 48 44 +4 42
3 Furiani-Agliani 30 45 40 +5 45
4 Haguenau 30 43 29 +14 51
5 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 41 24 +17 46
6 Colmar 30 41 43 -2 37
7 Beauvais 30 39 42 -3 35
8 Bourges Foot 18 30 35 24 +11 52
9 Chambly Thelle FC 30 35 35 0 34
10 Bastia-Borgo 30 32 37 -5 40
11 Epinal 30 32 37 -5 40
12 Chantilly 30 32 42 -10 27
13 Dieppe 30 31 36 -5 41
14 Biesheim 30 31 37 -6 39
15 Blois 30 31 47 -16 25
16 Wasquehal 30 28 44 -16 34