AI correctly predicted the Lyon W win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
A
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Lyon W Lyon W ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 2-0, 1-0, 3-0, 0-0, 4-0 1-0 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Low-scoring profile materialised (ΣxG 2.07, 1 goals)
- Lyon W attacking xG significantly stronger (2.03 vs 0.04)
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Lyon W win 1–0).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Lyon W 2.03 — Lens W 0.04
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Jan 14, 2026 · 18:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Lyon W win · 1–0
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FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
51/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
- High xG deviation from league baseline (50%+)
Evidence
★★★★★
- Strong model lean
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
53/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Lyon W win · Lyon W 1–0 Lens W
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Feminine Division 1 — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 60 |
| 2 | Paris FC W | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain W | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 47 |
| 4 | Nantes W | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Fleury 91 W | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Dijon W | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Strasbourg W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Le Havre W | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 |
| 9 | Marseille W | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Montpellier W | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens W | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Saint-Étienne W | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 22 | 76 | 11 | +65 | 60 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain W | 22 | 48 | 26 | +22 | 47 |
| 3 | Paris FC W | 22 | 46 | 16 | +30 | 48 |
| 4 | Nantes W | 22 | 42 | 34 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 | Montpellier W | 22 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Fleury 91 W | 22 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 33 |
| 7 | Strasbourg W | 22 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 26 |
| 8 | Marseille W | 22 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 19 |
| 9 | Le Havre W | 22 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 21 |
| 10 | Dijon W | 22 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | Lens W | 22 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 15 |
| 12 | Saint-Étienne W | 22 | 11 | 38 | -27 | 13 |
