Predictions / Football / Egypt. Premier League / National Bank of Egypt vs Smouha SC

Prediction Audit: National Bank of Egypt vs Smouha SC Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt
Mar 01, 2026 - 19:30
1 0.62
3 0.55
xG Accuracy: 46%
Smouha SC Smouha SC

The model missed the final outcome (Smouha SC win 1–3).

The model had projected Draw at 45.3%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Draw Smouha SC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Smouha SC win 1–3, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · National Bank of Egypt 0.62 — Smouha SC 0.55
  2. Mar 01, 2026 · 19:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Smouha SC win · 1–3
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 06:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2841775

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Smouha SC win · National Bank of Egypt 1–3 Smouha SC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zamalek SC 20 13 4 3 43
2 Pyramids FC 20 13 4 3 43
3 Al Ahly 20 11 7 2 40
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 20 11 5 4 38
5 AL Masry 20 8 8 4 32
6 Smouha SC 20 8 7 5 31
7 Enppi 20 7 9 4 30
8 Wadi Degla 20 7 8 5 29
9 Masr 20 7 8 5 29
10 El Gouna FC 20 6 10 4 28
11 National Bank of Egypt 20 5 11 4 26
12 Petrojet 20 5 10 5 25
13 Future FC 20 5 8 7 23
14 El Geish 20 5 7 8 22
15 Al Ittihad 20 6 2 12 20
16 Ghazl El Mehalla 20 2 13 5 19
17 El Mokawloon 20 3 9 8 18
18 Haras El Hodood 20 4 5 11 17
19 Kahraba Ismailia 20 4 4 12 16
20 Pharco 20 2 9 9 15
21 Ismaily SC 20 3 2 15 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Pyramids FC 20 33 15 +18 43
2 Al Ahly 20 33 19 +14 40
3 Zamalek SC 20 32 13 +19 43
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 20 29 16 +13 38
5 AL Masry 20 29 20 +9 32
6 Wadi Degla 20 23 20 +3 29
7 Kahraba Ismailia 20 22 37 -15 16
8 Smouha SC 20 21 13 +8 31
9 Masr 20 21 16 +5 29
10 Petrojet 20 21 23 -2 25
11 Enppi 20 20 16 +4 30
12 National Bank of Egypt 20 18 14 +4 26
13 Future FC 20 18 24 -6 23
14 El Gouna FC 20 16 15 +1 28
15 Al Ittihad 20 15 24 -9 20
16 Haras El Hodood 20 15 29 -14 17
17 El Geish 20 14 24 -10 22
18 El Mokawloon 20 13 21 -8 18
19 Ghazl El Mehalla 20 12 15 -3 19
20 Ismaily SC 20 11 28 -17 11
21 Pharco 20 8 22 -14 15
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Al Ahly 20 25.8 12.3 +13.5 40
2 Pyramids FC 20 23.1 11.3 +11.8 43
3 Zamalek SC 20 22.4 12.6 +9.8 43
4 Smouha SC 20 16.4 12.3 +4.1 31
5 El Mokawloon 20 16.4 12.9 +3.5 18
6 National Bank of Egypt 20 14.6 11.2 +3.4 26
7 Wadi Degla 20 17.0 13.8 +3.2 29
8 Ceramica Cleopatra 20 17.6 15.6 +2.0 38
9 El Geish 20 18.8 17.3 +1.5 22
10 Future FC 20 16.8 17.1 -0.3 23
11 El Gouna FC 20 16.3 18.0 -1.7 28
12 Masr 20 14.7 16.8 -2.1 29
13 Kahraba Ismailia 20 9.0 11.8 -2.8 16
14 AL Masry 20 16.2 19.2 -3.0 32
15 Enppi 20 14.3 18.4 -4.1 30
16 Al Ittihad 20 11.3 15.8 -4.5 20
17 Ghazl El Mehalla 20 11.2 15.9 -4.7 19
18 Haras El Hodood 20 12.7 19.1 -6.4 17
19 Petrojet 20 13.7 20.4 -6.7 25
20 Ismaily SC 20 11.7 18.8 -7.1 11
21 Pharco 20 11.7 21.2 -9.5 15