Predictions / Football / Romania. Liga II / CS Afumati vs Dumbrăviţa

Prediction Audit: CS Afumati vs Dumbrăviţa Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

CS Afumati CS Afumati
Feb 21, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.49
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 62%
Dumbrăviţa Dumbrăviţa

The model missed the final outcome (Dumbrăviţa win 0–1).

The model had projected CS Afumati at 43.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 CS Afumati Dumbrăviţa ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Dumbrăviţa win 0–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · CS Afumati 1.49 — Dumbrăviţa 1.23
  2. Feb 21, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Dumbrăviţa win · 0–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 12:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1596350

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dumbrăviţa win · CS Afumati 0–1 Dumbrăviţa
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Liga II Liga II — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Corvinul Hunedoara 21 16 5 0 53
2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 21 13 5 3 44
3 Chindia Targoviste 21 12 3 6 39
4 Bihor Oradea 21 12 3 6 39
5 FC Voluntari 21 11 6 4 39
6 CSA Steaua Bucureşti 21 12 3 6 39
7 ASA Targu Mures 21 11 4 6 37
8 CSM Reşiţa 21 10 3 8 33
9 FC Bacau 21 9 6 6 33
10 Metalul Buzău 21 10 2 9 32
11 Politehnica Iasi 21 9 4 8 31
12 CS Afumati 21 9 3 9 30
13 Concordia 21 8 3 10 27
14 Gloria Bistriţa 21 7 5 9 26
15 Slatina 21 7 5 9 26
16 Dumbrăviţa 21 7 4 10 25
17 Viitorul Şelimbăr 21 5 5 11 20
18 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 21 5 3 13 18
19 CS Dinamo București 21 3 7 11 16
20 Tunari 21 3 7 11 16
21 CSM Satu Mare 21 4 2 15 14
22 Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 21 2 4 15 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bihor Oradea 21 40 24 +16 39
2 Chindia Targoviste 21 38 20 +18 39
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 21 37 13 +24 53
4 ASA Targu Mures 21 37 22 +15 37
5 CSA Steaua Bucureşti 21 36 27 +9 39
6 CSM Reşiţa 21 35 29 +6 33
7 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 21 34 18 +16 44
8 Metalul Buzău 21 33 26 +7 32
9 FC Voluntari 21 30 16 +14 39
10 CS Afumati 21 30 26 +4 30
11 Concordia 21 29 24 +5 27
12 Gloria Bistriţa 21 29 29 0 26
13 FC Bacau 21 28 26 +2 33
14 Slatina 21 27 28 -1 26
15 Viitorul Şelimbăr 21 27 32 -5 20
16 Politehnica Iasi 21 25 22 +3 31
17 Dumbrăviţa 21 25 33 -8 25
18 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 21 20 43 -23 18
19 CS Dinamo București 21 19 35 -16 16
20 Tunari 21 19 36 -17 16
21 CSM Satu Mare 21 19 45 -26 14
22 Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 21 10 53 -43 10
Liga II Romania. Liga II Predictions