Predictions / Football / Zambia. Super League / NAPSA Stars vs Man Utd Zambia Academy

Prediction Audit: NAPSA Stars vs Man Utd Zambia Academy Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

NAPSA Stars NAPSA Stars
Feb 28, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.49
2 1.23
xG Accuracy: 71%
Man Utd Zambia Academy Man Utd Zambia Academy

The model missed the final outcome (Man Utd Zambia Academy win 1–2).

The model had projected NAPSA Stars at 43.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 NAPSA Stars Man Utd Zambia Academy ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.72) — 3 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned NAPSA Stars; match finished Man Utd Zambia Academy

Market lesson

The full-time result was Man Utd Zambia Academy win 1–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · NAPSA Stars 1.49 — Man Utd Zambia Academy 1.23
  2. Feb 28, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Man Utd Zambia Academy win · 1–2
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 16:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1618758

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Man Utd Zambia Academy win · NAPSA Stars 1–2 Man Utd Zambia Academy
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Super League Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Power Dynamos 34 23 9 2 78
2 Red Arrows 34 17 12 5 63
3 Man Utd Zambia Academy 34 14 9 11 51
4 Kabwe Warriors 34 14 9 11 51
5 Nchanga Rangers 34 14 8 12 50
6 Green Eagles 34 13 11 10 50
7 Zanaco 34 14 8 12 50
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 14 7 13 49
9 Konkola Blades 34 11 15 8 48
10 ZESCO United 34 13 8 13 47
11 Kansanshi Dynamos 34 10 13 11 43
12 Green Buffaloes 34 9 14 11 41
13 Nkana 34 9 12 13 39
14 Nkwazi 34 8 13 13 37
15 NAPSA Stars 34 8 12 14 36
16 Mutondo Stars 34 7 14 13 35
17 Prison Leopards 34 7 13 14 34
18 Mines 34 3 9 22 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Power Dynamos 34 53 18 +35 78
2 Red Arrows 34 44 22 +22 63
3 ZESCO United 34 39 30 +9 47
4 Man Utd Zambia Academy 34 35 30 +5 51
5 Konkola Blades 34 32 28 +4 48
6 Nchanga Rangers 34 31 26 +5 50
7 Kabwe Warriors 34 30 25 +5 51
8 Zanaco 34 30 30 0 50
9 Green Eagles 34 29 25 +4 50
10 Kansanshi Dynamos 34 28 26 +2 43
11 Green Buffaloes 34 27 34 -7 41
12 NAPSA Stars 34 25 33 -8 36
13 Prison Leopards 34 25 37 -12 34
14 Nkana 34 23 30 -7 39
15 Mutondo Stars 34 23 34 -11 35
16 Mufulira Wanderers 34 22 25 -3 49
17 Nkwazi 34 21 28 -7 37
18 Mines 34 19 55 -36 18
Super League Zambia. Super League Predictions