AI correctly predicted the Draw.
The match finished 2–2, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
F
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Draw Draw ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 2-2 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Draw 2–2).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.74 — AF Elbasani 0.61
-
Jan 18, 2026 · 16:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Draw · 2–2
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FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Draw · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–2 AF Elbasani
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Superliga — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 63 |
| 2 | AF Elbasani | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 62 |
| 3 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tirana | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 49 |
| 5 | Partizani | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 48 |
| 6 | Tirana | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 44 |
| 7 | Vora | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Teuta Durrës | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Bylis | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41 |
| 10 | Flamurtari | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AF Elbasani | 36 | 48 | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 2 | Dinamo Tirana | 36 | 43 | 33 | +10 | 49 |
| 3 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 36 | 42 | 27 | +15 | 63 |
| 4 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 36 | 42 | 34 | +8 | 57 |
| 5 | Vora | 36 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 42 |
| 6 | Flamurtari | 36 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 36 |
| 7 | Partizani | 36 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 48 |
| 8 | Bylis | 36 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 9 | Tirana | 36 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 44 |
| 10 | Teuta Durrës | 36 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 42 |
