Predictions / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northeast / Cigand SE vs Nyiregyhaza II

Prediction Audit: Cigand SE vs Nyiregyhaza II Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Cigand SE Cigand SE
May 10, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Nyiregyhaza II Nyiregyhaza II

AI correctly predicted the Cigand SE win.

The match finished 3–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Cigand SE Cigand SE ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 4 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Cigand SE win 3–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. May 04, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Cigand SE 1.45 — Nyiregyhaza II 1.25
  2. May 10, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Cigand SE win · 3–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 06:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1559708

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cigand SE win · Cigand SE 3–1 Nyiregyhaza II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: NB III - Northeast
  • Fixture: Cigand SE vs Nyiregyhaza II
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 10.0%
  • xG (showing): Cigand SE 1.45 — Nyiregyhaza II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 31.2% · Over 2.5 68.8%); BTTS Yes (Yes 69.1% · No 30.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 69.1% · No 30.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Northeast NB III - Northeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kisvárda II 30 20 7 3 67
2 Cigand SE 30 18 7 5 61
3 DEAC 30 18 7 5 61
4 Tiszafuredi VSE 30 16 8 6 56
5 Debrecen II 30 16 7 7 55
6 Tarpa 30 12 11 7 47
7 Gödöllő 30 11 7 12 40
8 Diósgyőr II 30 11 5 14 38
9 Nyiregyhaza II 30 11 4 15 37
10 Eger 30 11 4 15 37
11 Tiszaújváros 30 9 7 14 34
12 Putnok VSE 30 9 5 16 32
13 Füzesabony 30 7 9 14 30
14 Ózd Sajóvölgye 30 7 8 15 29
15 Sényő Carnifex 30 7 7 16 28
16 FC Hatvan 30 5 1 24 16
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Cigand SE 30 66 30 +36 61
2 Debrecen II 30 66 40 +26 55
3 Nyiregyhaza II 30 65 56 +9 37
4 DEAC 30 63 29 +34 61
5 Tiszafuredi VSE 30 61 36 +25 56
6 Kisvárda II 30 60 22 +38 67
7 Gödöllő 30 52 44 +8 40
8 Ózd Sajóvölgye 30 51 68 -17 29
9 Diósgyőr II 30 48 58 -10 38
10 Eger 30 46 71 -25 37
11 Putnok VSE 30 44 52 -8 32
12 Tiszaújváros 30 41 66 -25 34
13 Tarpa 30 39 28 +11 47
14 FC Hatvan 30 37 81 -44 16
15 Sényő Carnifex 30 32 74 -42 28
16 Füzesabony 30 25 41 -16 30
NB III - Northeast Hungary. NB III - Northeast Predictions