Predictions / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Bayern Süd / Kirchanschöring vs Gundelfingen

Prediction Audit: Kirchanschöring vs Gundelfingen Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Kirchanschöring Kirchanschöring
May 09, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Gundelfingen Gundelfingen

AI correctly predicted the Kirchanschöring win.

The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Kirchanschöring Kirchanschöring ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Kirchanschöring win 2–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. May 03, 2026 · 02:55 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Kirchanschöring 1.45 — Gundelfingen 1.25
  2. May 09, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Kirchanschöring win · 2–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 08:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1687777

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kirchanschöring win · Kirchanschöring 2–0 Gundelfingen
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Bayern Süd
  • Fixture: Kirchanschöring vs Gundelfingen
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 10.0%
  • xG (showing): Kirchanschöring 1.45 — Gundelfingen 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 46.9% · Over 2.5 53.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 57.9% · No 42.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 57.9% · No 42.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.9%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 18, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Bayern Süd Oberliga - Bayern Süd — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 1860 München II 32 21 5 6 68
2 Landsberg 32 18 11 3 65
3 Kirchanschöring 32 16 10 6 58
4 Gundelfingen 32 16 7 9 55
5 Erlbach 32 16 5 11 53
6 Pipinsried 32 15 7 10 52
7 Heimstetten 32 14 9 9 51
8 Deisenhofen 32 13 10 9 49
9 Sportfreunde Schwaig 32 12 9 11 45
10 TuS Geretsried 32 12 8 12 44
11 Nordlingen 32 11 11 10 44
12 Ismaning 32 11 9 12 42
13 Schalding-Heining 32 9 11 12 38
14 Kottern 32 9 6 17 33
15 Sturm Hauzenberg 32 6 5 21 23
16 Türkspor Augsburg 32 4 5 23 17
17 Türkgücü-Ataspor 32 3 4 25 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Landsberg 32 79 43 +36 65
2 1860 München II 32 74 26 +48 68
3 Kirchanschöring 32 67 35 +32 58
4 Heimstetten 32 64 46 +18 51
5 Pipinsried 32 58 37 +21 52
6 Nordlingen 32 58 58 0 44
7 Gundelfingen 32 51 33 +18 55
8 Ismaning 32 50 58 -8 42
9 TuS Geretsried 32 49 46 +3 44
10 Sportfreunde Schwaig 32 48 44 +4 45
11 Deisenhofen 32 44 47 -3 49
12 Schalding-Heining 32 43 50 -7 38
13 Erlbach 32 42 35 +7 53
14 Kottern 32 40 57 -17 33
15 Türkspor Augsburg 32 28 83 -55 17
16 Sturm Hauzenberg 32 24 64 -40 23
17 Türkgücü-Ataspor 32 21 78 -57 13
Oberliga - Bayern Süd Germany. Oberliga - Bayern Süd Predictions