The model missed the final outcome (Hannover 96 II win 0–4).
The model had projected SSV Jeddeloh at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 SSV Jeddeloh Hannover 96 II ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-4 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 4 goals materialised
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- 1X2: model leaned SSV Jeddeloh; match finished Hannover 96 II
Market lesson
The full-time result was Hannover 96 II win 0–4, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · SSV Jeddeloh 1.45 — Hannover 96 II 1.25
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Mar 14, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Hannover 96 II win · 0–4
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Regionalliga - Nord — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Meppen | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 83 |
| 2 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 70 |
| 3 | VfB Oldenburg | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 |
| 4 | SSV Jeddeloh | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64 |
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Hannover 96 II | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 |
| 7 | Bremer SV | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 |
| 8 | Weiche Flensburg | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49 |
| 9 | Kickers Emden | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 11 | VfB Lübeck | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen II | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC Hannover | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
| 14 | Schöningen | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 34 |
| 15 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 |
| 16 | St. Pauli II | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 25 |
| 17 | BW Lohne | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 23 |
| 18 | Altona 93 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 23 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Meppen | 34 | 103 | 35 | +68 | 83 |
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 34 | 87 | 45 | +42 | 69 |
| 3 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 34 | 83 | 48 | +35 | 70 |
| 4 | SSV Jeddeloh | 34 | 81 | 50 | +31 | 64 |
| 5 | Weiche Flensburg | 34 | 69 | 63 | +6 | 49 |
| 6 | Kickers Emden | 34 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 51 |
| 7 | Hannover 96 II | 34 | 63 | 49 | +14 | 53 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV II | 34 | 57 | 50 | +7 | 47 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen II | 34 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 40 |
| 10 | Schöningen | 34 | 56 | 84 | -28 | 34 |
| 11 | VfB Lübeck | 34 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 45 |
| 12 | Phönix Lübeck | 34 | 53 | 43 | +10 | 56 |
| 13 | Bremer SV | 34 | 52 | 41 | +11 | 52 |
| 14 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 34 | 51 | 79 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | HSC Hannover | 34 | 49 | 84 | -35 | 37 |
| 16 | Altona 93 | 34 | 44 | 92 | -48 | 23 |
| 17 | St. Pauli II | 34 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 25 |
| 18 | BW Lohne | 34 | 38 | 78 | -40 | 23 |