Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Luckenwalde Draw ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Apr 11, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Regionalliga - Nordost — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 72 |
| 2 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 |
| 3 | FSV Zwickau | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64 |
| 4 | Hallescher FC | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63 |
| 5 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 61 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 49 |
| 10 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 11 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 13 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 40 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC U21 | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 16 | ZFC Meuselwitz | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 14 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 34 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 61 |
| 2 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 34 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 41 |
| 3 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 65 | 30 | +35 | 72 |
| 4 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 34 | 65 | 35 | +30 | 72 |
| 5 | Hallescher FC | 34 | 63 | 36 | +27 | 63 |
| 6 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 61 | 55 | +6 | 49 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer FC | 34 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 | FSV Zwickau | 34 | 52 | 44 | +8 | 64 |
| 9 | Altglienicke | 34 | 50 | 40 | +10 | 53 |
| 10 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Hertha BSC U21 | 34 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | ZFC Meuselwitz | 34 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
| 16 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 30 | 79 | -49 | 14 |