Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (4 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
- 1X2 — Friedberg — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 3-1 — N/A
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Sep 27, 2025 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Friedberg win · 3–1
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Validation Report
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Oberliga - Hessen — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 90 |
| 2 | Eddersheim | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64 |
| 3 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 59 |
| 4 | FC Gießen | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 57 |
| 5 | Baunatal | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 55 |
| 6 | TuBa Pohlheim | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | Friedberg | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49 |
| 8 | Hünfelder SV | 34 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 48 |
| 9 | 1960 Hanau | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47 |
| 10 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 11 | Darmstadt 98 II | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 12 | Vfb Marburg | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 13 | Hummetroth | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41 |
| 14 | Fernwald | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 |
| 15 | Kassel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 16 | Waldgirmes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 |
| 17 | Weidenhausen | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22 |
| 18 | Hanau 93 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 15 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 34 | 100 | 34 | +66 | 90 |
| 2 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf | 34 | 90 | 76 | +14 | 47 |
| 3 | Eddersheim | 34 | 75 | 50 | +25 | 64 |
| 4 | Darmstadt 98 II | 34 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 45 |
| 5 | FC Gießen | 34 | 74 | 57 | +17 | 57 |
| 6 | TuBa Pohlheim | 34 | 74 | 62 | +12 | 54 |
| 7 | Hünfelder SV | 34 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 48 |
| 8 | Baunatal | 34 | 64 | 52 | +12 | 55 |
| 9 | Hummetroth | 34 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Kassel | 34 | 63 | 82 | -19 | 39 |
| 11 | Fernwald | 34 | 59 | 54 | +5 | 42 |
| 12 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf | 34 | 57 | 42 | +15 | 59 |
| 13 | Friedberg | 34 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 49 |
| 14 | 1960 Hanau | 34 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 |
| 15 | Vfb Marburg | 34 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 45 |
| 16 | Waldgirmes | 34 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 33 |
| 17 | Weidenhausen | 34 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 22 |
| 18 | Hanau 93 | 34 | 35 | 92 | -57 | 15 |