AI correctly predicted the Nürnberg win.
The match finished 5–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Nürnberg Nürnberg ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 5-1 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (6 goals)
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Nürnberg win 5–1).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Nürnberg 1.35 — Carl Zeiss Jena W 1.12
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Feb 21, 2026 · 11:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Nürnberg win · 5–1
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FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Nürnberg win · Nürnberg 5–1 Carl Zeiss Jena W
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Frauen Bundesliga — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg W | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Koln W | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg W | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 11 | Nürnberg | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 11 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 90 | 9 | +81 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg W | 26 | 72 | 38 | +34 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 26 | 65 | 43 | +22 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 26 | 48 | 30 | +18 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 46 | 36 | +10 | 46 |
| 6 | SC Freiburg W | 26 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 34 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen W | 26 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 43 |
| 8 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig W | 26 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | FC Koln W | 26 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Nürnberg | 26 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 26 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 22 | 63 | -41 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 26 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 11 |
