Predictions / Football / England. National League / Boston United vs Sutton Utd

Prediction Audit: Boston United vs Sutton Utd Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Boston United Boston United
Feb 07, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.49
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 62%
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd

AI correctly predicted the Boston United win.

The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Boston United Boston United ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Boston United win 1–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Boston United 1.49 — Sutton Utd 1.23
  2. Feb 07, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Boston United win · 1–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 02:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2563062

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Boston United win · Boston United 1–0 Sutton Utd
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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National League National League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 York 46 33 9 4 108
2 Rochdale 46 33 7 6 106
3 Carlisle 46 29 8 9 95
4 Boreham Wood 46 27 9 10 90
5 Scunthorpe 46 23 13 10 82
6 Southend 46 23 12 11 81
7 Forest Green 46 23 12 11 81
8 FC Halifax Town 46 20 10 16 70
9 Hartlepool 46 18 14 14 68
10 Woking 46 16 15 15 63
11 Tamworth 46 17 11 18 62
12 Boston United 46 15 14 17 59
13 Altrincham 46 17 6 23 57
14 Solihull Moors 46 14 14 18 56
15 Wealdstone 46 15 11 20 56
16 Yeovil Town 46 15 6 25 51
17 Eastleigh 46 13 11 22 50
18 Gateshead 46 14 8 24 50
19 Sutton Utd 46 11 14 21 47
20 Aldershot Town 46 13 7 26 46
21 Brackley Town 46 10 12 24 42
22 Morecambe 46 9 11 26 38
23 Braintree 46 8 12 26 36
24 Truro City 46 8 10 28 34
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 York 46 114 41 +73 108
2 Boreham Wood 46 95 58 +37 90
3 Rochdale 46 88 41 +47 106
4 Carlisle 46 87 51 +36 95
5 Southend 46 83 47 +36 81
6 Forest Green 46 82 52 +30 81
7 Scunthorpe 46 77 62 +15 82
8 Solihull Moors 46 71 72 -1 56
9 Woking 46 69 54 +15 63
10 FC Halifax Town 46 69 66 +3 70
11 Aldershot Town 46 69 87 -18 46
12 Wealdstone 46 67 74 -7 56
13 Morecambe 46 66 103 -37 38
14 Boston United 46 63 67 -4 59
15 Tamworth 46 63 71 -8 62
16 Sutton Utd 46 59 79 -20 47
17 Eastleigh 46 57 80 -23 50
18 Altrincham 46 55 65 -10 57
19 Hartlepool 46 54 59 -5 68
20 Gateshead 46 54 90 -36 50
21 Yeovil Town 46 48 68 -20 51
22 Truro City 46 42 72 -30 34
23 Brackley Town 46 40 75 -35 42
24 Braintree 46 38 76 -38 36