The model missed the final outcome (AB Copenhagen win 0–2).
The model had projected Thisted FC at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
F
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Thisted FC AB Copenhagen ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)
Market lesson
The full-time result was AB Copenhagen win 0–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Thisted FC 1.45 — AB Copenhagen 1.25
-
Mar 15, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result AB Copenhagen win · 0–2
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.39
CLV
Pending
Final Result
AB Copenhagen win · Thisted FC 0–2 AB Copenhagen
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 41.8%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=2)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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2. Division — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AB Copenhagen | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 |
| 2 | Naestved | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 44 |
| 3 | Vendsyssel FF | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Roskilde | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Thisted FC | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36 |
| 6 | HIK | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 32 |
| 7 | VSK Århus | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 24 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 |
| 10 | Skive | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
| 11 | Ishøj | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 17 |
| 12 | FC Helsingor | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AB Copenhagen | 23 | 61 | 22 | +39 | 53 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 23 | 39 | 25 | +14 | 36 |
| 3 | Naestved | 23 | 35 | 26 | +9 | 44 |
| 4 | Vendsyssel FF | 23 | 34 | 26 | +8 | 42 |
| 5 | Brabrand | 22 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 21 |
| 6 | Thisted FC | 23 | 29 | 23 | +6 | 36 |
| 7 | HIK | 23 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
| 8 | Ishøj | 22 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 17 |
| 9 | VSK Århus | 22 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 28 |
| 10 | Fremad Amager | 22 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 11 | Skive | 22 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | FC Helsingor | 22 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 12 |
