Prediction Audit: Achuapa vs Mictlán Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Achuapa

Nov 16, 2025 - 21:00

1 —

0 —

Mictlán

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade —

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (1 goals) — N/A
Both Teams To Score — No — N/A
1X2 — Achuapa — N/A
Correct Score Insights — 1-0 — N/A

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

Before kickoff Forecast generated
Nov 16, 2025 · 21:00 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Achuapa win · 1–0
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: —

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Frozen pre-match snapshot

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Achuapa win · Achuapa 1–0 Mictlán

Prediction —

Decision Grade —

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Liga Nacional — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Xelajú	22	11	6	5	39
2	Municipal	22	11	5	6	38
3	Mixco	22	10	6	6	36
4	Comunicaciones	22	11	2	9	35
5	Antigua GFC	22	9	7	6	34
6	Cobán Imperial	22	8	8	6	32
7	Guastatoya	22	8	7	7	31
8	Marquense	22	9	3	10	30
9	Mictlán	22	7	6	9	27
10	Malacateco	22	6	4	12	22
11	Aurora	22	4	8	10	20
12	Achuapa	22	5	4	13	19

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Xelajú	22	34	19	+15	39
2	Antigua GFC	22	34	29	+5	34
3	Municipal	22	32	21	+11	38
4	Mixco	22	30	26	+4	36
5	Guastatoya	22	29	21	+8	31
6	Cobán Imperial	22	29	22	+7	32
7	Comunicaciones	22	28	26	+2	35
8	Marquense	22	25	29	-4	30
9	Mictlán	22	25	36	-11	27
10	Malacateco	22	19	25	-6	22
11	Achuapa	22	17	32	-15	19
12	Aurora	22	14	30	-16	20