Predictions / Football / Israel. Liga Leumit / Kafr Qasim vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

Prediction Audit: Kafr Qasim vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Kafr Qasim Kafr Qasim
Jan 19, 2026 - 17:00
0 0.56
0 0.50
xG Accuracy: 75%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva

AI correctly predicted the Draw.

The match finished 0–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Draw Draw ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 0-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Low-scoring profile materialised (ΣxG 1.06, 0 goals)
  • Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Draw 0–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Kafr Qasim 0.56 — Maccabi Petah Tikva 0.50
  2. Jan 19, 2026 · 17:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 0–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 14:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1606857

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds 2.1
CLV —
Final Result Draw · Kafr Qasim 0–0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 47.6%
  • Historical Bucket: 45–50% — Building sample

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Liga Leumit Liga Leumit — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 60
2 Maccabi Herzliya 30 14 8 8 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 49
4 Hapoel Rishon LeZion 30 13 9 8 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 47
6 Bnei Yehuda 30 12 8 10 44
7 Kiryat Yam SC 30 13 7 10 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 41
9 Hapoel Ra'anana 30 10 8 12 38
10 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 30 10 7 13 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 36
12 Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34
13 Hapoel Nazareth Illit 30 6 14 10 32
14 Ironi Modi'in 30 8 8 14 32
15 Hapoel Acre 30 6 13 11 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 23
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 67 32 +35 60
2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 51 47 +4 47
3 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 30 50 50 0 37
4 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 48 36 +12 49
5 Maccabi Herzliya 30 45 35 +10 50
6 Hapoel Rishon LeZion 30 43 33 +10 48
7 Kiryat Yam SC 30 43 37 +6 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 38 39 -1 41
9 Hapoel Nazareth Illit 30 37 45 -8 32
10 Bnei Yehuda 30 34 37 -3 44
11 Kafr Qasim 30 34 39 -5 34
12 Hapoel Acre 30 32 42 -10 31
13 Hapoel Afula 30 32 48 -16 36
14 Hapoel Hadera 30 32 48 -16 23
15 Ironi Modi'in 30 30 41 -11 32
16 Hapoel Ra'anana 30 29 36 -7 38