Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (3 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — No — N/A
- 1X2 — Maccabi Petah Tikva — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 0-3 — N/A
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Sep 17, 2025 · 16:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Maccabi Petah Tikva win · 0–3
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Validation Report
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Liga Leumit — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 60 |
| 2 | Maccabi Herzliya | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 50 |
| 3 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 49 |
| 4 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Bnei Yehuda | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Kiryat Yam SC | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37 |
| 11 | Hapoel Afula | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 12 | Kafr Qasim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 34 |
| 13 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 32 |
| 14 | Ironi Modi'in | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 |
| 15 | Hapoel Acre | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 31 |
| 16 | Hapoel Hadera | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 23 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 30 | 67 | 32 | +35 | 60 |
| 2 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 30 | 51 | 47 | +4 | 47 |
| 3 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 30 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 37 |
| 4 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 30 | 48 | 36 | +12 | 49 |
| 5 | Maccabi Herzliya | 30 | 45 | 35 | +10 | 50 |
| 6 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 30 | 43 | 33 | +10 | 48 |
| 7 | Kiryat Yam SC | 30 | 43 | 37 | +6 | 42 |
| 8 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 30 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 41 |
| 9 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 30 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Bnei Yehuda | 30 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Kafr Qasim | 30 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Hapoel Acre | 30 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 | Hapoel Afula | 30 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 36 |
| 14 | Hapoel Hadera | 30 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Ironi Modi'in | 30 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 30 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 38 |