AI correctly predicted the Ironi Kiryat Shmona win.
The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ironi Kiryat Shmona ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 0-0, 2-1 2-0 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona attacking xG significantly stronger (1.53 vs 0.85)
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Ironi Kiryat Shmona win 2–0).
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.53 — Bnei Sakhnin 0.85
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Feb 28, 2026 · 17:30 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Ironi Kiryat Shmona win · 2–0
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FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
- Validation: Pending
- Moderate model lean
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Ligat Ha'al — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 55 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 51 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 46 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | Maccabi Netanya | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31 |
| 8 | Bnei Sakhnin | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29 |
| 9 | Ironi Tiberias | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26 |
| 10 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
| 11 | Hapoel Haifa | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
| 12 | Ashdod | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| 14 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 24 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beitar Jerusalem | 24 | 56 | 27 | +29 | 51 |
| 2 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 24 | 54 | 23 | +31 | 55 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 24 | 50 | 28 | +22 | 46 |
| 4 | Maccabi Haifa | 24 | 46 | 25 | +21 | 39 |
| 5 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 24 | 44 | 26 | +18 | 45 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 24 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 31 |
| 7 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 24 | 40 | 35 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 24 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Hapoel Haifa | 24 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 24 |
| 10 | Ashdod | 24 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 23 |
| 11 | Ironi Tiberias | 24 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
| 12 | Bnei Sakhnin | 24 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 24 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 24 | 17 | 57 | -40 | 11 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 24 | 15.4 | 7.4 | +8.0 | 55 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 24 | 12.4 | 8.6 | +3.8 | 51 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 24 | 14.6 | 11.3 | +3.3 | 46 |
| 4 | Maccabi Haifa | 24 | 13.1 | 10.0 | +3.1 | 39 |
| 5 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 24 | 16.9 | 15.4 | +1.5 | 24 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 24 | 10.7 | 9.4 | +1.3 | 31 |
| 7 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 24 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 45 |
| 8 | Hapoel Haifa | 24 | 8.1 | 13.9 | -5.8 | 24 |
| 9 | Bnei Sakhnin | 24 | 5.9 | 13.1 | -7.2 | 29 |
| 10 | Ashdod | 24 | 11.7 | 19.5 | -7.8 | 23 |
| 11 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 24 | — | — | — | 35 |
| 12 | Ironi Tiberias | 24 | — | — | — | 26 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 24 | — | — | — | 20 |
| 14 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 24 | — | — | — | 11 |