AI correctly predicted the FK Sarajevo win.
The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
A
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 3 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (FK Sarajevo win 2–1).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · FK Sarajevo 1.45 — Zrinjski 1.25
-
Apr 11, 2026 · 16:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result FK Sarajevo win · 2–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
FK Sarajevo win · FK Sarajevo 2–1 Zrinjski
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Premijer Liga — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Banja Luka | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 86 |
| 2 | Zrinjski | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 71 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 | Velež | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 51 |
| 5 | Siroki Brijeg | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Radnik Bijeljina | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 35 |
| 8 | Sloga Doboj | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 |
| 9 | Posušje | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 |
| 10 | Rudar Prijedor | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 30 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Banja Luka | 36 | 76 | 20 | +56 | 86 |
| 2 | FK Sarajevo | 36 | 54 | 37 | +17 | 65 |
| 3 | Zrinjski | 36 | 48 | 25 | +23 | 71 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 36 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 45 |
| 5 | Velež | 36 | 36 | 35 | +1 | 51 |
| 6 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 36 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rudar Prijedor | 36 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 30 |
| 8 | Radnik Bijeljina | 36 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 | Posušje | 36 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | Sloga Doboj | 36 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 34 |
