Predictions / Football / Slovakia. Super Liga / Tatran Prešov vs FK Košice

Prediction Audit: Tatran Prešov vs FK Košice Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Tatran Prešov Tatran Prešov
Feb 14, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.69
4 1.55
xG Accuracy: 42%
FK Košice FK Košice

The model missed the final outcome (FK Košice win 1–4).

The model had projected Tatran Prešov at 40.0%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Tatran Prešov FK Košice ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.24) — 5 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Tatran Prešov; match finished FK Košice
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was FK Košice win 1–4, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Tatran Prešov 1.69 — FK Košice 1.55
  2. Feb 14, 2026 · 17:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result FK Košice win · 1–4
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 07:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1686654

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result FK Košice win · Tatran Prešov 1–4 FK Košice
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Super Liga Super Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Slovan Bratislava 22 14 4 4 46
2 Dunajska Streda 22 12 7 3 43
3 Žilina 22 11 7 4 40
4 Spartak Trnava 22 11 4 7 37
5 Podbrezová 22 11 3 8 36
6 Zemplín Michalovce 22 8 5 9 29
7 Ružomberok 22 6 7 9 25
8 AS Trencin 22 7 3 12 24
9 FK Košice 22 7 3 12 24
10 Komárno 22 5 7 10 22
11 Tatran Prešov 22 4 9 9 21
12 Skalica 22 3 7 12 16
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Slovan Bratislava 22 47 30 +17 46
2 Podbrezová 22 46 29 +17 36
3 Žilina 22 45 27 +18 40
4 Dunajska Streda 22 39 20 +19 43
5 Spartak Trnava 22 35 28 +7 37
6 FK Košice 22 35 42 -7 24
7 Zemplín Michalovce 22 32 36 -4 29
8 Ružomberok 22 24 34 -10 25
9 Komárno 22 24 34 -10 22
10 Tatran Prešov 22 22 35 -13 21
11 Skalica 22 20 35 -15 16
12 AS Trencin 22 18 37 -19 24
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Podbrezová 22 28.9 18.0 +10.9 36
2 Dunajska Streda 22 23.0 18.6 +4.4 43
3 Spartak Trnava 22 20.8 16.5 +4.3 37
4 Žilina 22 21.5 17.5 +4.0 40
5 Slovan Bratislava 22 20.0 16.6 +3.4 46
6 FK Košice 22 21.9 19.1 +2.8 24
7 Komárno 22 18.9 17.8 +1.1 22
8 Zemplín Michalovce 22 19.4 19.8 -0.4 29
9 Tatran Prešov 22 15.6 18.5 -2.9 21
10 AS Trencin 22 15.7 22.9 -7.2 24
11 Ružomberok 22 13.3 23.2 -9.9 25
12 Skalica 22 15.7 25.9 -10.2 16