The model missed the final outcome (Ružomberok win 1–0).
The model had projected Tatran Prešov at 37.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
F
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Tatran Prešov Ružomberok ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)
Market lesson
The full-time result was Ružomberok win 1–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Ružomberok 1.30 — Tatran Prešov 1.40
-
Feb 07, 2026 · 14:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Ružomberok win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Ružomberok win · Ružomberok 1–0 Tatran Prešov
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Super Liga — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovan Bratislava | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 46 |
| 2 | Dunajska Streda | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 43 |
| 3 | Žilina | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 40 |
| 4 | Spartak Trnava | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Zemplín Michalovce | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Ružomberok | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 |
| 8 | AS Trencin | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| 9 | FK Košice | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| 10 | Komárno | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 11 | Tatran Prešov | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
| 12 | Skalica | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovan Bratislava | 22 | 47 | 30 | +17 | 46 |
| 2 | Podbrezová | 22 | 46 | 29 | +17 | 36 |
| 3 | Žilina | 22 | 45 | 27 | +18 | 40 |
| 4 | Dunajska Streda | 22 | 39 | 20 | +19 | 43 |
| 5 | Spartak Trnava | 22 | 35 | 28 | +7 | 37 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 22 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 24 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 22 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 29 |
| 8 | Ružomberok | 22 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 25 |
| 9 | Komárno | 22 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Tatran Prešov | 22 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
| 11 | Skalica | 22 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
| 12 | AS Trencin | 22 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 24 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Podbrezová | 22 | 28.9 | 18.0 | +10.9 | 36 |
| 2 | Dunajska Streda | 22 | 23.0 | 18.6 | +4.4 | 43 |
| 3 | Spartak Trnava | 22 | 20.8 | 16.5 | +4.3 | 37 |
| 4 | Žilina | 22 | 21.5 | 17.5 | +4.0 | 40 |
| 5 | Slovan Bratislava | 22 | 20.0 | 16.6 | +3.4 | 46 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 22 | 21.9 | 19.1 | +2.8 | 24 |
| 7 | Komárno | 22 | 18.9 | 17.8 | +1.1 | 22 |
| 8 | Zemplín Michalovce | 22 | 19.4 | 19.8 | -0.4 | 29 |
| 9 | Tatran Prešov | 22 | 15.6 | 18.5 | -2.9 | 21 |
| 10 | AS Trencin | 22 | 15.7 | 22.9 | -7.2 | 24 |
| 11 | Ružomberok | 22 | 13.3 | 23.2 | -9.9 | 25 |
| 12 | Skalica | 22 | 15.7 | 25.9 | -10.2 | 16 |
