Predictions / Football / Switzerland. Super League / Servette FC vs Lausanne

Prediction Audit: Servette FC vs Lausanne Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jan 14, 2026 - 19:30
0 1.42
1 1.39
xG Accuracy: 61%

The model missed the final outcome (Lausanne win 0–1).

The model had projected Servette FC at 38.0%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Servette FC Lausanne ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Lausanne win 0–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Servette FC 1.42 — Lausanne 1.39
  2. Jan 14, 2026 · 19:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Lausanne win · 0–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 02:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2973385

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Lausanne win · Servette FC 0–1 Lausanne
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Super League Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC Thun 33 24 2 7 74
2 FC ST. Gallen 33 17 9 7 60
3 FC Lugano 33 16 9 8 57
4 FC Basel 1893 33 15 8 10 53
5 FC Sion 33 13 13 7 52
6 BSC Young Boys 33 13 9 11 48
7 FC Luzern 33 10 10 13 40
8 Servette FC 33 9 13 11 40
9 Lausanne 33 10 9 14 39
10 FC Zurich 33 10 4 19 34
11 Grasshoppers 33 6 9 18 27
12 FC Winterthur 33 4 7 22 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC Thun 33 75 37 +38 74
2 BSC Young Boys 33 65 60 +5 48
3 FC ST. Gallen 33 64 40 +24 60
4 FC Luzern 33 64 61 +3 40
5 Servette FC 33 57 57 0 40
6 FC Sion 33 51 35 +16 52
7 FC Basel 1893 33 51 45 +6 53
8 FC Lugano 33 50 38 +12 57
9 Lausanne 33 47 57 -10 39
10 FC Zurich 33 45 63 -18 34
11 Grasshoppers 33 40 65 -25 27
12 FC Winterthur 33 35 86 -51 19
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 FC Sion 33 48.5 34.4 +14.1 52
2 FC ST. Gallen 33 59.2 48.0 +11.2 60
3 FC Basel 1893 33 63.6 53.3 +10.3 53
4 FC Thun 33 59.2 51.5 +7.7 74
5 Servette FC 33 48.7 41.2 +7.5 40
6 Lausanne 33 51.4 47.1 +4.3 39
7 FC Luzern 33 52.2 48.9 +3.3 40
8 FC Lugano 33 42.9 42.1 +0.8 57
9 BSC Young Boys 33 49.7 52.9 -3.2 48
10 FC Zurich 33 50.3 59.1 -8.8 34
11 Grasshoppers 33 38.4 57.9 -19.5 27
12 FC Winterthur 33 36.7 64.4 -27.7 19