Predictions / Football / Hungary. NB I / Paks vs Debreceni VSC

Prediction Audit: Paks vs Debreceni VSC Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Paks Paks
Oct 18, 2025 - 14:15
1 2.07
1 0.90
xG Accuracy: 72%
Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade —

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (2 goals) — N/A
  • Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
  • 1X2 — Draw — N/A
  • Correct Score Insights — 1-1 — N/A

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Paks attacking xG significantly stronger (2.07 vs 0.90)
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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Paks 2.07 — Debreceni VSC 0.90
  2. Oct 18, 2025 · 14:15 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome —
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 51/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
  • High xG deviation from league baseline (53%+)
Evidence ★★★★★
  • Strong model lean
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 53/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 06, 2026 · 08:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7323455

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Paks 1–1 Debreceni VSC
Prediction —
Decision Grade —

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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NB I NB I — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gyori ETO FC 33 20 9 4 69
2 Ferencvarosi TC 33 21 5 7 68
3 Paks 33 15 8 10 53
4 Debreceni VSC 33 14 11 8 53
5 Zalaegerszegi TE 33 13 9 11 48
6 Puskas Academy 33 13 7 13 46
7 Ujpest 33 11 7 15 40
8 Kisvarda FC 33 11 7 15 40
9 Nyiregyhaza 33 10 10 13 40
10 MTK Budapest 33 9 11 13 38
11 Diosgyori VTK 33 6 10 17 28
12 Kazincbarcikai 33 6 4 23 22
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ferencvarosi TC 33 67 31 +36 68
2 Gyori ETO FC 33 65 30 +35 69
3 Paks 33 63 46 +17 53
4 MTK Budapest 33 55 62 -7 38
5 Debreceni VSC 33 51 41 +10 53
6 Zalaegerszegi TE 33 49 43 +6 48
7 Ujpest 33 48 57 -9 40
8 Nyiregyhaza 33 47 57 -10 40
9 Puskas Academy 33 43 43 0 46
10 Diosgyori VTK 33 39 65 -26 28
11 Kisvarda FC 33 36 49 -13 40
12 Kazincbarcikai 33 31 70 -39 22
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Ferencvarosi TC 33 20.8 11.2 +9.6 68
2 Zalaegerszegi TE 33 15.9 15.2 +0.7 48
3 Ujpest 33 15.3 14.8 +0.5 40
4 Gyori ETO FC 33 2.3 2.2 +0.1 69
5 Paks 33 16.4 16.4 0.0 53
6 Puskas Academy 33 14.3 15.0 -0.7 46
7 MTK Budapest 33 18.3 19.1 -0.8 38
8 Kisvarda FC 33 13.9 15.8 -1.9 40
9 Debreceni VSC 33 15.3 18.8 -3.5 53
10 Diosgyori VTK 33 14.2 18.1 -3.9 28
11 Nyiregyhaza 33 — — — 40
12 Kazincbarcikai 33 — — — 22
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