Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (3 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
- 1X2 — EC Vera Cruz — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 2-1 — N/A
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Jun 01, 2025 · 18:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result EC Vera Cruz win · 2–1
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
EC Vera Cruz win · EC Vera Cruz 2–1 Juventus RJ
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Carioca C — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paraty | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RJ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| 3 | Riostrense | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Uniao Central | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| 5 | Juventus RJ | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| 6 | EC Vera Cruz | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Angra dos Reis | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | EC Resende | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 15 |
| 9 | Búzios | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Duquecaxiense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | CAAC Brasil | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Mesquita | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Barcelona RJ | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz RJ | 12 | 39 | 14 | +25 | 27 |
| 2 | Uniao Central | 12 | 34 | 18 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 | Paraty | 12 | 33 | 11 | +22 | 28 |
| 4 | Riostrense | 12 | 29 | 11 | +18 | 26 |
| 5 | Juventus RJ | 12 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 24 |
| 6 | Angra dos Reis | 12 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | EC Vera Cruz | 12 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 8 | Búzios | 12 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 12 |
| 9 | Duquecaxiense | 12 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | EC Resende | 12 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | CAAC Brasil | 12 | 10 | 35 | -25 | 9 |
| 12 | Mesquita | 12 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 7 |
| 13 | Barcelona RJ | 12 | 5 | 36 | -31 | 4 |
