Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (2 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — No — N/A
- 1X2 — Sertãozinho — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 2-0 — N/A
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Mar 29, 2025 · 21:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Sertãozinho win · 2–0
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
Sertãozinho win · Sertãozinho 2–0 Marília
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Paulista - A3 — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monte Azul | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| 3 | Desportivo Brasil | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 |
| 4 | Sertãozinho | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 25 |
| 5 | Catanduva | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | União São João | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Itapirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | Rio Preto | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 10 | USAC | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 11 | XV de Jau | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 12 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 17 |
| 13 | EC São Bernardo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 14 | Bandeirante SP | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
| 15 | EC Lemense | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Comercial | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monte Azul | 15 | 27 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Marília | 15 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 28 |
| 4 | Desportivo Brasil | 15 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 25 |
| 5 | União São João | 15 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 | Catanduva | 15 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Francana | 15 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | USAC | 15 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sertãozinho | 15 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 25 |
| 10 | Itapirense | 15 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 11 | Rio Preto | 15 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bandeirante SP | 15 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 15 |
| 13 | EC Lemense | 15 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | EC São Bernardo | 15 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | XV de Jau | 15 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Comercial | 15 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 11 |
