AI correctly predicted the Shandong Luneng win.
The match finished 3–2, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 2-1, 3-1, 1-1, 2-0, 2-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.79) — 5 goals materialised
- Shandong Luneng attacking xG significantly stronger (2.45 vs 1.34)
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Shandong Luneng win 3–2).
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Shandong Luneng 2.45 — Qingdao Youth Island 1.34
-
Aug 24, 2025 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Shandong Luneng win · 3–2
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
- Validation: Pending
- High xG deviation from league baseline (81%+)
- Strong model lean
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore More Predictions Content
Get Premium Predictions for Shandong Luneng & Qingdao Youth Island!
Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.
Subscribe Now
Super League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 66 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 64 |
| 3 | Chengdu Better City | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 60 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 57 |
| 5 | Shandong Luneng | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Tianjin Teda | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Greentown | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 42 |
| 9 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 40 |
| 10 | Henan Jianye | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37 |
| 11 | Dalian Zhixing | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 12 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 27 |
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 |
| 14 | Qingdao Jonoon | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 21 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 30 | 72 | 44 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 69 | 46 | +23 | 57 |
| 3 | Shandong Luneng | 30 | 69 | 46 | +23 | 53 |
| 4 | Shanghai Shenhua | 30 | 67 | 35 | +32 | 64 |
| 5 | Chengdu Better City | 30 | 60 | 28 | +32 | 60 |
| 6 | Hangzhou Greentown | 30 | 60 | 51 | +9 | 42 |
| 7 | Henan Jianye | 30 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 30 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 42 |
| 9 | Tianjin Teda | 30 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 40 |
| 11 | Meizhou Kejia | 30 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 21 |
| 12 | Qingdao Jonoon | 30 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 25 |
| 13 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 30 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 27 |
| 14 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 25 |
| 15 | Dalian Zhixing | 30 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 36 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 30 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 19 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 30 | 66.3 | 29.2 | +37.1 | 60 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 30 | 61.8 | 30.1 | +31.7 | 64 |
| 3 | Shandong Luneng | 30 | 59.2 | 41.4 | +17.8 | 53 |
| 4 | Henan Jianye | 30 | 56.7 | 39.3 | +17.4 | 37 |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 30 | 58.3 | 46.3 | +12.0 | 66 |
| 6 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 53.8 | 41.9 | +11.9 | 57 |
| 7 | Dalian Zhixing | 30 | 38.4 | 39.4 | -1.0 | 36 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Greentown | 30 | 42.2 | 44.4 | -2.2 | 42 |
| 9 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 40.1 | 44.3 | -4.2 | 40 |
| 10 | Tianjin Teda | 30 | 39.4 | 45.4 | -6.0 | 44 |
| 11 | Yunnan Yukun | 30 | 42.4 | 50.2 | -7.8 | 42 |
| 12 | Qingdao Jonoon | 30 | 39.9 | 53.4 | -13.5 | 25 |
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 35.6 | 52.1 | -16.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Meizhou Kejia | 30 | 35.5 | 59.3 | -23.8 | 21 |
| 15 | Changchun Yatai | 30 | 28.6 | 54.0 | -25.4 | 19 |
| 16 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 30 | 28.4 | 55.8 | -27.4 | 27 |