Predictions / Football / China. Super League / Qingdao Youth Island vs Sichuan Jiuniu

Prediction Audit: Qingdao Youth Island vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
May 06, 2025 - 11:35
0 1.91
0 0.99
xG Accuracy: 45%
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 0–0).

The model had projected Qingdao Youth Island at 57.5%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Qingdao Youth Island Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (0 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 0–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Qingdao Youth Island 1.91 — Sichuan Jiuniu 0.99
  2. May 06, 2025 · 11:35 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 0–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • Moderate model lean
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 11, 2026 · 10:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-33197

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Qingdao Youth Island 0–0 Sichuan Jiuniu
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Back to Predictions
Super League Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 SHANGHAI SIPG 30 20 6 4 66
2 Shanghai Shenhua 30 19 7 4 64
3 Chengdu Better City 30 17 9 4 60
4 Beijing Guoan 30 17 6 7 57
5 Shandong Luneng 30 15 8 7 53
6 Tianjin Teda 30 12 8 10 44
7 Hangzhou Greentown 30 10 12 8 42
8 Yunnan Yukun 30 11 9 10 42
9 Qingdao Youth Island 30 10 10 10 40
10 Henan Jianye 30 10 7 13 37
11 Dalian Zhixing 30 9 9 12 36
12 Sichuan Jiuniu 30 8 3 19 27
13 Wuhan Three Towns 30 6 7 17 25
14 Qingdao Jonoon 30 5 10 15 25
15 Meizhou Kejia 30 5 6 19 21
16 Changchun Yatai 30 4 7 19 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 SHANGHAI SIPG 30 72 44 +28 66
2 Beijing Guoan 30 69 46 +23 57
3 Shandong Luneng 30 69 46 +23 53
4 Shanghai Shenhua 30 67 35 +32 64
5 Chengdu Better City 30 60 28 +32 60
6 Hangzhou Greentown 30 60 51 +9 42
7 Henan Jianye 30 52 48 +4 37
8 Yunnan Yukun 30 47 52 -5 42
9 Tianjin Teda 30 40 41 -1 44
10 Qingdao Youth Island 30 39 43 -4 40
11 Meizhou Kejia 30 36 71 -35 21
12 Qingdao Jonoon 30 35 48 -13 25
13 Sichuan Jiuniu 30 35 59 -24 27
14 Wuhan Three Towns 30 34 62 -28 25
15 Dalian Zhixing 30 30 45 -15 36
16 Changchun Yatai 30 26 52 -26 19
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Chengdu Better City 30 66.3 29.2 +37.1 60
2 Shanghai Shenhua 30 61.8 30.1 +31.7 64
3 Shandong Luneng 30 59.2 41.4 +17.8 53
4 Henan Jianye 30 56.7 39.3 +17.4 37
5 SHANGHAI SIPG 30 58.3 46.3 +12.0 66
6 Beijing Guoan 30 53.8 41.9 +11.9 57
7 Dalian Zhixing 30 38.4 39.4 -1.0 36
8 Hangzhou Greentown 30 42.2 44.4 -2.2 42
9 Qingdao Youth Island 30 40.1 44.3 -4.2 40
10 Tianjin Teda 30 39.4 45.4 -6.0 44
11 Yunnan Yukun 30 42.4 50.2 -7.8 42
12 Qingdao Jonoon 30 39.9 53.4 -13.5 25
13 Wuhan Three Towns 30 35.6 52.1 -16.5 25
14 Meizhou Kejia 30 35.5 59.3 -23.8 21
15 Changchun Yatai 30 28.6 54.0 -25.4 19
16 Sichuan Jiuniu 30 28.4 55.8 -27.4 27
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