Predictions / Football / Ireland. Premier Division / St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers

Prediction Audit: St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
Oct 17, 2025 - 18:45
1 1.68
0 1.09
xG Accuracy: 62%
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers

AI correctly predicted the St Patrick's Athl. win.

The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • St Patrick's Athl. attacking xG significantly stronger (1.68 vs 1.09)
  • Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (St Patrick's Athl. win 1–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · St Patrick's Athl. 1.68 — Shamrock Rovers 1.09
  2. Oct 17, 2025 · 18:45 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result St Patrick's Athl. win · 1–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 14:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2618929

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result St Patrick's Athl. win · St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Shamrock Rovers
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Premier Division Premier Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 19 9 8 66
2 Derry City 36 18 9 9 63
3 Shelbourne 36 15 14 7 59
4 Bohemians 36 16 6 14 54
5 St Patrick's Athl. 36 13 13 10 52
6 Drogheda United 36 12 15 9 51
7 Sligo Rovers 36 11 8 17 41
8 Galway United 36 9 12 15 39
9 Waterford 36 11 6 19 39
10 Cork City 36 4 12 20 24
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 56 33 +23 66
2 Derry City 36 52 39 +13 63
3 Shelbourne 36 48 37 +11 59
4 Bohemians 36 48 39 +9 54
5 St Patrick's Athl. 36 42 32 +10 52
6 Sligo Rovers 36 42 54 -12 41
7 Waterford 36 41 60 -19 39
8 Drogheda United 36 38 38 0 51
9 Galway United 36 37 44 -7 39
10 Cork City 36 33 61 -28 24
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Bohemians 36 46.6 32.1 +14.5 54
2 Shamrock Rovers 36 36.5 26.3 +10.2 66
3 St Patrick's Athl. 36 39.6 29.6 +10.0 52
4 Shelbourne 36 38.8 31.6 +7.2 59
5 Derry City 36 36.2 29.6 +6.6 63
6 Galway United 36 43.6 41.9 +1.7 39
7 Drogheda United 36 33.1 38.0 -4.9 51
8 Sligo Rovers 36 33.0 47.2 -14.2 41
9 Waterford 36 32.9 47.8 -14.9 39
10 Cork City 36 29.2 45.2 -16.0 24
Premier Division Ireland. Premier Division Predictions