Predictions / Football / Ireland. Premier Division / Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians

Prediction Audit: Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
Sep 26, 2025 - 18:45
2 1.97
1 1.21
xG Accuracy: 94%
Bohemians Bohemians

AI correctly predicted the Shamrock Rovers win.

The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 3-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.18) — 3 goals materialised
  • Shamrock Rovers attacking xG significantly stronger (1.97 vs 1.21)
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Shamrock Rovers win 2–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Shamrock Rovers 1.97 — Bohemians 1.21
  2. Sep 26, 2025 · 18:45 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Shamrock Rovers win · 2–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • Moderate model lean
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 06:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2140705

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Shamrock Rovers win · Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Premier Division Premier Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 19 9 8 66
2 Derry City 36 18 9 9 63
3 Shelbourne 36 15 14 7 59
4 Bohemians 36 16 6 14 54
5 St Patrick's Athl. 36 13 13 10 52
6 Drogheda United 36 12 15 9 51
7 Sligo Rovers 36 11 8 17 41
8 Galway United 36 9 12 15 39
9 Waterford 36 11 6 19 39
10 Cork City 36 4 12 20 24
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 56 33 +23 66
2 Derry City 36 52 39 +13 63
3 Shelbourne 36 48 37 +11 59
4 Bohemians 36 48 39 +9 54
5 St Patrick's Athl. 36 42 32 +10 52
6 Sligo Rovers 36 42 54 -12 41
7 Waterford 36 41 60 -19 39
8 Drogheda United 36 38 38 0 51
9 Galway United 36 37 44 -7 39
10 Cork City 36 33 61 -28 24
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Bohemians 36 46.6 32.1 +14.5 54
2 Shamrock Rovers 36 36.5 26.3 +10.2 66
3 St Patrick's Athl. 36 39.6 29.6 +10.0 52
4 Shelbourne 36 38.8 31.6 +7.2 59
5 Derry City 36 36.2 29.6 +6.6 63
6 Galway United 36 43.6 41.9 +1.7 39
7 Drogheda United 36 33.1 38.0 -4.9 51
8 Sligo Rovers 36 33.0 47.2 -14.2 41
9 Waterford 36 32.9 47.8 -14.9 39
10 Cork City 36 29.2 45.2 -16.0 24
Premier Division Ireland. Premier Division Predictions