Predictions / Football / USA. NWSL Women / San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W

Prediction Audit: San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

May 11, 2025 - 02:00
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade —

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (2 goals) — N/A
  • Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
  • 1X2 — Draw — N/A
  • Correct Score Insights — 1-1 — N/A
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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
  2. May 11, 2025 · 02:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: —

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Frozen pre-match snapshot

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · San Diego Wave W 1–1 Portland Thorns W
Prediction —
Decision Grade —

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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NWSL Women NWSL Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kansas City W 26 21 2 3 65
2 Washington Spirit W 26 12 8 6 44
3 Portland Thorns W 26 11 7 8 40
4 Orlando Pride W 26 11 7 8 40
5 Seattle Reign FC 26 10 9 7 39
6 San Diego Wave W 26 10 7 9 37
7 Racing Louisville W 26 10 7 9 37
8 NJ/NY Gotham FC W 26 9 9 8 36
9 North Carolina Courage W 26 9 8 9 35
10 Houston Dash W 26 8 6 12 30
11 Angel City W 26 7 6 13 27
12 Utah Royals W 26 6 7 13 25
13 Bay FC 26 4 8 14 20
14 Chicago Red Stars W 26 3 11 12 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kansas City W 26 49 13 +36 65
2 Washington Spirit W 26 42 33 +9 44
3 San Diego Wave W 26 41 34 +7 37
4 North Carolina Courage W 26 37 39 -2 35
5 Portland Thorns W 26 36 29 +7 40
6 NJ/NY Gotham FC W 26 35 25 +10 36
7 Racing Louisville W 26 35 38 -3 37
8 Orlando Pride W 26 33 27 +6 40
9 Seattle Reign FC 26 32 29 +3 39
10 Chicago Red Stars W 26 32 54 -22 20
11 Angel City W 26 31 41 -10 27
12 Utah Royals W 26 28 42 -14 25
13 Houston Dash W 26 27 39 -12 30
14 Bay FC 26 26 41 -15 20
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Washington Spirit W 26 4.9 2.4 +2.5 44
2 Seattle Reign FC 26 1.7 1.1 +0.6 39
3 Racing Louisville W 26 2.0 1.6 +0.4 37
4 Kansas City W 26 1.6 1.4 +0.2 65
5 NJ/NY Gotham FC W 26 1.4 1.6 -0.2 36
6 San Diego Wave W 26 1.5 2.0 -0.5 37
7 Orlando Pride W 26 1.1 1.7 -0.6 40
8 Portland Thorns W 26 2.5 4.8 -2.3 40
9 North Carolina Courage W 26 — — — 35
10 Houston Dash W 26 — — — 30
11 Angel City W 26 — — — 27
12 Utah Royals W 26 — — — 25
13 Bay FC 26 — — — 20
14 Chicago Red Stars W 26 — — — 20