Predictions / Football / Colombia. Primera A / Chico vs Rionegro Aguilas

Prediction Audit: Chico vs Rionegro Aguilas Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Chico Chico
Mar 01, 2025 - 01:10
1 1.10
1 1.22
xG Accuracy: 92%
Rionegro Aguilas Rionegro Aguilas

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Rionegro Aguilas at 37.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Rionegro Aguilas Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
  • 1X2: model leaned Rionegro Aguilas; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Chico 1.10 — Rionegro Aguilas 1.22
  2. Mar 01, 2025 · 01:10 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Frozen pre-match snapshot

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Chico 1–1 Rionegro Aguilas
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Primera A Matches Track Chico Next Match Prediction Track Rionegro Aguilas Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Chico & Rionegro Aguilas!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
Primera A Primera A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Independiente Medellin 20 12 4 4 40
2 Deportes Tolima 20 12 2 6 38
3 Atletico Nacional 20 10 7 3 37
4 Bucaramanga 20 11 4 5 37
5 Junior 20 10 5 5 35
6 Fortaleza FC 20 9 8 3 35
7 Santa Fe 20 8 7 5 31
8 America de Cali 20 8 5 7 29
9 Alianza Petrolera 20 8 5 7 29
10 Rionegro Aguilas 20 7 6 7 27
11 Once Caldas 20 7 6 7 27
12 Millonarios 20 7 5 8 26
13 Llaneros 20 7 4 9 25
14 Deportivo Cali 20 5 6 9 21
15 Union Magdalena 20 6 3 11 21
16 Envigado 20 4 8 8 20
17 Deportivo Pasto 20 4 7 9 19
18 Deportivo Pereira 20 4 6 10 18
19 Chico 20 3 7 10 16
20 La Equidad 20 3 5 12 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Independiente Medellin 20 46 28 +18 40
2 Atletico Nacional 20 38 24 +14 37
3 Junior 20 35 25 +10 35
4 Bucaramanga 20 31 20 +11 37
5 Deportes Tolima 20 29 17 +12 38
6 Rionegro Aguilas 20 29 27 +2 27
7 Deportivo Pasto 20 26 28 -2 19
8 Fortaleza FC 20 25 19 +6 35
9 Alianza Petrolera 20 24 22 +2 29
10 America de Cali 20 23 19 +4 29
11 Millonarios 20 23 26 -3 26
12 Deportivo Cali 20 22 28 -6 21
13 Union Magdalena 20 22 32 -10 21
14 Santa Fe 20 21 17 +4 31
15 Once Caldas 20 21 24 -3 27
16 Deportivo Pereira 20 19 36 -17 18
17 Envigado 20 18 22 -4 20
18 Llaneros 20 17 25 -8 25
19 Chico 20 14 29 -15 16
20 La Equidad 20 14 29 -15 14
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Independiente Medellin 20 66.2 41.7 +24.5 40
2 Atletico Nacional 20 64.8 46.6 +18.2 37
3 Bucaramanga 20 48.0 37.0 +11.0 37
4 Millonarios 20 50.1 41.6 +8.5 26
5 Deportes Tolima 20 54.4 47.5 +6.9 38
6 America de Cali 20 55.1 48.6 +6.5 29
7 Alianza Petrolera 20 39.9 36.4 +3.5 29
8 Junior 20 57.0 54.1 +2.9 35
9 Santa Fe 20 56.8 58.1 -1.3 31
10 Fortaleza FC 20 45.0 46.5 -1.5 35
11 Rionegro Aguilas 20 40.5 43.3 -2.8 27
12 Deportivo Pasto 20 36.8 39.8 -3.0 19
13 Deportivo Cali 20 38.9 42.4 -3.5 21
14 Deportivo Pereira 20 35.5 42.8 -7.3 18
15 Envigado 20 32.6 40.9 -8.3 20
16 Llaneros 20 32.9 41.9 -9.0 25
17 Once Caldas 20 41.7 51.2 -9.5 27
18 Union Magdalena 20 35.1 45.6 -10.5 21
19 La Equidad 20 30.6 41.5 -10.9 14
20 Chico 20 32.3 46.8 -14.5 16
Primera A Colombia. Primera A Predictions