Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (4 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
- 1X2 — Olimpia — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 3-1 — N/A
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Apr 19, 2025 · 23:15 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Olimpia win · 3–1
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
Olimpia win · Olimpia 3–1 Sportivo Luqueno
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Division Profesional - Apertura — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 44 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 39 |
| 3 | Club Guarani | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Olimpia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Recoleta | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 27 |
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 |
| 9 | General Caballero | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 10 | Sportivo Luqueno | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 12 | Atlético Tembetary | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 35 | 15 | +20 | 44 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 33 | 18 | +15 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Recoleta | 22 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 | Olimpia | 22 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 33 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 22 | 27 | 24 | +3 | 38 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | General Caballero | 22 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Atlético Tembetary | 22 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Sportivo Luqueno | 22 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 22 |
