Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (2 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — No — N/A
- 1X2 — Kazakhstan U21 — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 0-2 — N/A
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Nov 16, 2023 · 17:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Kazakhstan U21 win · 0–2
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
Kazakhstan U21 win · Malta U21 0–2 Kazakhstan U21
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway U21 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
| 2 | Croatia U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Austria U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Estonia U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway U21 | 10 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Croatia U21 | 10 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 | Austria U21 | 10 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 | Finland U21 | 10 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 7 |
| 6 | Estonia U21 | 10 | 0 | 32 | -32 | 0 |
