AI correctly predicted the Lokeren-Temse win.
The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
A
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 2-1 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.46) — 3 goals materialised
- Lokeren-Temse attacking xG significantly stronger (1.92 vs 1.54)
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Lokeren-Temse win 2–1).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Aug 21, 2026 · 18:04 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Lokeren-Temse 1.92 — AS Eupen 1.54
-
Aug 21, 2026 · 18:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Lokeren-Temse win · 2–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Lokeren-Temse win · Lokeren-Temse 2–1 AS Eupen
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Challenger Pro League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beerschot Wilrijk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Dender | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | AS Eupen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Francs Borains | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior Virton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Lokeren-Temse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Club Brugge II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | KRC Genk II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Liège | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | KAA Gent II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Patro Eisden | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Seraing United | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | RSC Anderlecht II | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beerschot Wilrijk | 6 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Lokeren-Temse | 6 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 | KRC Genk II | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | AS Eupen | 5 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | Club Brugge II | 5 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 | Liège | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 |
| 7 | Francs Borains | 5 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Dender | 6 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Excelsior Virton | 5 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 | Patro Eisden | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | RSC Anderlecht II | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 1 |
| 12 | KAA Gent II | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Seraing United | 6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Sporting Hasselt | 6 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 5 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Eupen | 5 | 3.5 | 1.8 | +1.7 | 12 |
| 2 | Excelsior Virton | 5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | +1.3 | 10 |
| 3 | Dender | 6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | +0.6 | 15 |
| 4 | Lokeren-Temse | 6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 10 |
| 5 | Club Brugge II | 5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | -0.6 | 8 |
| 6 | RSC Anderlecht II | 6 | 1.2 | 4.2 | -3.0 | 1 |
| 7 | Beerschot Wilrijk | 6 | — | — | — | 15 |
| 8 | Francs Borains | 5 | — | — | — | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Hasselt | 6 | — | — | — | 9 |
| 10 | KRC Genk II | 6 | — | — | — | 7 |
| 11 | Liège | 6 | — | — | — | 5 |
| 12 | KAA Gent II | 5 | — | — | — | 5 |
| 13 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 5 | — | — | — | 5 |
| 14 | Patro Eisden | 6 | — | — | — | 3 |
| 15 | Seraing United | 6 | — | — | — | 2 |
