Today's Summary
3
Significant Movements
Avg Move
6.5%
Market Movement - Russia - First League
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 6.5% move).
- Strongest steam: Enisey vs Torpedo Moskva (5.9%, 5 books).
- 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +10.1%
- 2 ↑ +7.7%
- 3 ↑ +5.9%
Biggest Steam
-
Enisey vs Torpedo Moskva ↑ +5.9% Steam 46
-
2
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula ↑ +10.1% Steam 29
-
3
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik ↑ +7.7% Steam 21
Highest Breadth
-
1
Enisey vs Torpedo Moskva ↑ +5.9% 4/5
-
2
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula ↑ +10.1% 3/5
-
3
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik ↑ +7.7% 1/5
Most Books Agree
-
1
Enisey vs Torpedo Moskva ↑ +5.9%
-
2
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula ↑ +10.1%
-
3
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik ↑ +7.7%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula ↑ +10.1%
-
2
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik ↑ +7.7%
-
3
Enisey vs Torpedo Moskva ↑ +5.9%
📊 Miglior Vantaggio Oggi
I maggiori divari fair-vs-mercato prima del calcio d'inizio — lato valore AI vs dove fluiscono i soldi.
| Match | Vantaggio AI | Movimento di mercato | Vantaggio | Stato |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets | Spartak Kostroma | Leningradets ↑ +2.4% | -27.6 pp | Mercato Fortemente Avanti |
| Enisey vs Torpedo Mosca | Torpedo Mosca | Torpedo Mosca ↑ +5.9% | -11.2 pp | Mercato Fortemente Avanti |
| KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik | KAMAZ | KAMAZ ↑ +7.7% | -5.9 pp | Mercato Avanti |
| FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula | Arsenal Tula | FC Ufa ↑ +10.1% | -0.5 pp | Allineato |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enisey vs Torpedo Mosca | Torpedo Mosca | ↑ +5.9% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 4/5 | Steam Score: 46 B |
| FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula | FC Ufa | ↑ +10.1% | ↘ Drift | 3/5 | Steam Score: 29 C |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enisey vs Torpedo Mosca Prima Lega Russa · Sat 08:30 | Torpedo Mosca | 2.04 |
2.16
kickoff in 6h |
↑ +5.9%
2.04
2.16
🐢 Slow drift over 115h 12m 2.16 → 1.96 → 2.16 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Pinnacle |
4/5
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.9%
1xBet
↑ +3.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.6%
Dafabet
↑ +3.0%
|
Steam Score:
46
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +13/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Highest consensus move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Pinnacle led repricing on Torpedo Mosca (5.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula Prima Lega Russa · Sat 11:00 | FC Ufa | 2.68 |
2.95
kickoff in 8h 30m |
↑ +10.1%
2.68
2.95
🐢 Slow drift over 117h 15m 2.95 → 2.50 → 2.95 |
↘ Drift | Pinnacle |
3/5
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +10.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +5.3%
1xBet
↑ +5.1%
|
Steam Score:
29
C
Limited conviction
Allungamento modesto — considerare come monitoraggio della deriva piuttosto che steam. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Largest move today | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on FC Ufa (10.1%, 3/5) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik Prima Lega Russa · Sat 13:00 | KAMAZ | 1.96 |
2.11
kickoff in 10h 30m |
↑ +7.7%
1.96
2.11
🐢 Slow drift over 115h 12m 2.11 → 1.91 → 2.11 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Pinnacle |
1/5
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.7%
|
Steam Score:
21
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +17/45
Book synchronization: +6/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on KAMAZ (swing 2.11 → 1.91 → 2.11) — net 7.7% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets Prima Lega Russa · Sat 13:30 | Leningradets | 6.74 |
6.9
kickoff in 11h |
↑ +2.4%
6.74
6.9
— Stable line 6.90 → 5.70 → 6.90 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Pinnacle |
2/5
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +3.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.4%
|
Steam Score:
11
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +5/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Leningradets (swing 6.90 → 5.70 → 6.90) — net 2.4% but intraday chop is elevated. |
