Market Movement - Poland - Ekstraklasa
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 1.4% move).
- Strongest steam: Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa (0.0%, 10 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 0% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
Ekstraklasa (Poland) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 1.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 10% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, Poland - Ekstraklasa has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 1.0. Typical line moves averaged 2.9% and the largest swing reached 2.9%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia vs Legia Varsavia Ekstraklasa · Sat 18:15 | Cracovia | 2.7 |
2.7
kickoff in 66m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.88 → 2.61 → 2.70 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +1.8%
SBO Sharp
↑ +0.4%
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
24
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Highest consensus move | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Cracovia (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 9.8% — price repriced then reverted. |
| GKS Katowice vs Pogoń Szczecin Ekstraklasa · Sat 15:30 | Pogoń Szczecin | 3.5 |
3.4
since pub · 57h 44m |
↓ -2.9%
3.5
3.4
🐢 Slow drift over 57h 44m 3.65 → 2.87 → 3.40 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
1/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -2.9%
|
Steam Score:
1
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +6/45
Book synchronization: +3/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Pogoń Szczecin (swing 3.65 → 2.87 → 3.40) — net 2.9% but intraday chop is elevated. |