Market Movement - France - Ligue 2
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 6.6% move).
- Strongest steam: Saint Etienne vs Rodez (16.7%, 10 books).
- 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 67% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +16.7%
- 2 ↑ +3.2%
Biggest Steam
-
Saint Etienne vs Rodez ↑ +16.7% Steam 58
-
2
Nantes vs Reims ↑ +3.2% Steam 42
Highest Breadth
-
1
Saint Etienne vs Rodez ↑ +16.7% 9/10
-
2
Nantes vs Reims ↑ +3.2% 8/10
Most Books Agree
-
1
Saint Etienne vs Rodez ↑ +16.7%
-
2
Nantes vs Reims ↑ +3.2%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Saint Etienne vs Rodez ↑ +16.7%
-
2
Nantes vs Reims ↑ +3.2%
League Intelligence (30 days)
Ligue 2 (France) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 23.5 while bookmaker consensus averaged 55% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, France - Ligue 2 has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 23.5. Typical line moves averaged 1.6% and the largest swing reached 3.2%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
📊 Miglior Vantaggio Oggi
I maggiori divari fair-vs-mercato prima del calcio d'inizio — lato valore AI vs dove fluiscono i soldi.
| Match | Vantaggio AI | Movimento di mercato | Vantaggio | Stato |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Étienne vs Rodez | Saint-Étienne | Rodez ↑ +16.7% | -33.0 pp | Rischio di Rottura del Modello |
| FC Nantes vs Stade de Reims | FC Nantes | Stade de Reims ↑ +3.2% | -11.2 pp | Mercato Fortemente Avanti |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Étienne vs Rodez | Rodez | ↑ +16.7% | 📉 Strong drift | 9/10 | Steam Score: 58 B |
| FC Nantes vs Stade de Reims | Stade de Reims | ↑ +3.2% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 8/10 | Steam Score: 42 B |
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| Match(3) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Ligue 2 · Sat 18:00 | Rodez | 6.0 |
7.0
kickoff in 4h 39m |
↑ +16.7%
6.0
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 149h 28m 8.31 → 5.80 → 7.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +17.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.7%
Betano
↑ +11.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.3%
1xBet
↑ +11.0%
Dafabet
↑ +9.1%
SBO Sharp
↑ +8.3%
William Hill
↑ +7.7%
BetVictor
↑ +7.1%
|
Steam Score:
58
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Largest move today | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 9/10 books lengthened Rodez together (16.7% drift, score 58) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| FC Nantes vs Stade de Reims Ligue 2 · Sat 12:00 | Stade de Reims | 3.1 |
3.2
since pub · 149h 28m |
↑ +3.2%
3.1
3.2
🐢 Slow drift over 149h 28m 3.45 → 2.93 → 3.20 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +6.5%
William Hill
↑ +6.5%
1xBet
↑ +6.1%
BetVictor
↑ +4.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +4.8%
Betano
↑ +4.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +3.2%
|
Steam Score:
42
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +7/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Pinnacle led repricing on Stade de Reims (3.2%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Clermont Foot vs Red Star FC Ligue 2 · Sat 12:00 | Clermont Foot | 3.4 |
3.4
since pub · 149h 28m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 3.82 → 3.20 → 3.40 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity | Bet365 |
3/10
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +1.4%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Dafabet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
5
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +9/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Clermont Foot (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 17.7% — price repriced then reverted. |