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Intelligenza di mercatoSharp Money Report — November 12, 2026

Daily Football Betting Market Intelligence

Partial archive · 2026-11-12 · 19 pending

Today's Market Status

  • Matches analyzed: 84
  • Bookmakers tracked: 10
  • Market activity: Active
  • Sharp signals detected: 72 detected
View analyzed matches →

Analyzed Matches (84)

Sharp Signals (72)

League Match Signal Status Sharp Score Movement
UEFA Nations League Czech Republic vs Spain Strong Sharp 98 ↓ -20.0%
Segunda División Cerrito vs Colón Strong Sharp 96 ↓ -21.5%
Coupe de France Chambéry vs Grenoble Strong Sharp 95 ↓ -27.3%
Copa del Rey Tarancón vs Levante Strong Sharp 93 ↓ -55.9%
Primera A Deportivo Pasto vs Junior Strong Sharp 90 ↓ -43.5%
Reserve League Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. Moderate Sharp 88 ↓ -17.1%
Premier League Mount Pleasant Academy vs Portmore United Moderate Sharp 86 ↑ +62.3%
Friendlies Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23 Moderate Sharp 84 ↑ +41.2%
Second League Dayrout vs Proxy Moderate Sharp 84 ↑ +61.7%
Second League Masar vs Tersana Moderate Sharp 84 ↑ +41.4%
Second League Mega Sport vs El Seka El Hadid Moderate Sharp 84 ↑ +25.7%
Segunda División Atenas vs Oriental Moderate Sharp 84 ↑ +64.0%
Reserve League Godoy Cruz Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. Moderate Sharp 82 ↑ +22.6%
Friendlies New Zealand vs India Moderate Sharp 81 ↑ +42.9%
Copa Fares Lopes Ceara B vs Uniclinic Atletico Clube Moderate Sharp 80 ↑ +40.0%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Guinea vs Eritrea Moderate Sharp 79 ↓ -29.4%
Primera Division Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba Moderate Sharp 79 ↑ +45.1%
CONCACAF Nations League Aruba vs Martinique Moderate Sharp 78 ↑ +70.7%
CONCACAF Nations League Cayman Islands vs Guyana Moderate Sharp 77 ↑ +30.8%
Friendlies Malta vs Eswatini Moderate Sharp 77 ↑ +22.2%
Friendlies Singapore U23 vs Vietnam U23 Moderate Sharp 75 ↑ +26.7%
USL Super League DC Power W vs Brooklyn W Moderate Sharp 75 ↑ +15.5%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Congo DR vs Sierra Leone Moderate Sharp 73 ↑ +29.1%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe Moderate Sharp 73 ↓ -13.8%
UEFA Nations League Armenia vs Cyprus Market Movement 69 ↑ +51.2%
UEFA Nations League Montenegro vs Latvia Market Movement 69 ↑ +27.0%
UEFA Nations League Albania vs Finland Market Movement 68 ↑ +20.0%
CONCACAF Nations League Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago Market Movement 66 ↓ -11.8%
UEFA Champions League Women Barcelona W vs Arsenal W Market Movement 66 ↑ +25.0%
UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification Portugal U19 vs Lithuania U19 Market Movement 66 ↑ +31.6%
Torneo Federal A Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca Market Movement 65 ↑ +117.0%
Liga MX Femenil América W vs Toluca W Market Movement 62 ↓ -10.0%
Liga MX Femenil Pachuca W vs Monterrey W Market Movement 62 ↑ +14.6%
Serie B Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR Market Movement 62 ↓ -10.0%
Copa del Rey Navalcarnero vs Real Betis Market Movement 60 ↑ +50.0%
UEFA Nations League San Marino vs Belarus Market Movement 60 ↓ -11.8%
Copa de la División Profesional Real Potosí vs Nacional Potosí Market Movement 58 ↑ +7.8%
FA Cup Smail vs Bahla Market Movement 58 ↓ -17.1%
Friendlies Lithuania vs Suriname Market Movement 58 ↑ +12.9%
U20 Elite League Italy U20 vs Portugal U20 Market Movement 58 ↑ +17.0%
Super Copa Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia Market Movement 56 ↑ +12.9%
CONCACAF Nations League Bonaire vs Cuba Market Movement 54 ↑ +11.1%
UEFA Nations League Türkiye vs Belgium Market Movement 53 ↑ +5.3%
CAF U23 Cup of Nations Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23 Market Movement 52 ↓ -22.2%
U20 Elite League England U20 vs Czechia U20 Market Movement 52 ↑ +7.7%
Copa del Rey Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete Market Movement 51 ↑ +15.0%
Serie B São Bernardo vs Athletic Club Market Movement 51 ↓ -24.4%
Segunda División Plaza Colonia vs Rentistas Market Movement 50 ↓ -6.8%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Ivory Coast vs Gambia Market Movement 49 ↑ +7.8%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau Market Movement 49 ↑ +15.0%
Primera B Quindio vs Tigres FC Market Movement 49 ↑ +8.8%
Reserve League Huracán Res. vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 Market Movement 49 ↑ +5.3%
Reserve League Barracas Central Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. Market Movement 48 ↑ +13.3%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Ghana vs Somalia Market Movement 47 ↑ +5.6%
CONCACAF Nations League Barbados vs Guadeloupe Market Movement 46 ↑ +12.9%
Primera División Cerro Largo vs Progreso Market Movement 45 ↑ +13.5%
UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification Germany U19 vs Sweden U19 Market Movement 45 ↑ +7.1%
Friendlies Uzbekistan vs Russia Market Movement 44 ↑ +3.2%
UEFA Nations League England vs Croatia Market Movement 42 ↓ -14.3%
Second League AL Nasr SC vs Pharco Market Movement 40 ↓ -4.2%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Senegal vs Sudan Market Movement 39 ↑ +11.8%
FA Cup Sur vs Dhofar Market Movement 38 ↓ -8.0%
Primera Division Águila vs Municipal Limeño Market Movement 38 ↑ +10.6%
Reserve League Rosario Central Res. vs River Plate Res. Market Movement 37 ↑ +8.7%
UEFA Champions League Women SL Benfica W vs Austria Wien W Market Movement 37 ↑ +13.9%
WK-League Hwacheon KSPO W vs Gyeongju W Market Movement 32 ↑ +5.8%
Second League El Entag EL Harby vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Market Movement 26 ↑ +3.8%
Paulista - U20 RB Bragantino U20 vs Corinthians U20 Market Movement 23 ↓ -7.3%
Reserve League Colón Res. vs Central Córdoba SdE Res. Market Movement 19 ↑ +7.7%
Friendlies France U20 vs Denmark U20 Market Movement 18 ↓ -4.7%
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 Market Movement 18 ↑ +7.5%
Friendlies Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 Market Movement 14 ↑ +3.4%
Show 12 matches without significant movement
League Match Signal Status
Friendlies Clubs BK Hacken vs Fredrikstad No significant movement
Liga de Expansión MX Piratas vs CA La Paz No significant movement
CAF U23 Cup of Nations Angola U23 vs Congo U23 No significant movement
CAF U23 Cup of Nations Ethiopia U23 vs Morocco U23 No significant movement
Premier League Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Vipers No significant movement
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Benin vs Central African Republic No significant movement
Primera Division FAS vs Inter No significant movement
LFA First Division Fassell vs Discoveries No significant movement
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Cameroon vs Namibia No significant movement
Liga Nacional Aurora vs Mixco No significant movement
FA Cup Oman Club vs Al Nasr No significant movement
UEFA Nations League Italy vs France No significant movement

Market Recap

On 2026-11-12, OddsGPT analyzed 84 football matches and detected 72 market movement signals, including 5 strong sharp signals. Positive closing value rate: 35.2%. Average CLV: -1.7% (based on 54 settled signals with closing odds). Strongest league activity: UEFA Nations League.

Closing Line Validation

35.2% Beat Closing Line
-1.7% Average CLV
35.2% Positive CLV rate

Based on 54 settled signals with closing odds.

Closing Validation measures whether prices moved toward the signal before kickoff (CLV), not whether the pick won. Status bands: Validated (≥ +5%), Slightly Positive (0 to +5%), Neutral (−5% to 0), Invalidated (≤ −5%).

Secondary Match Outcome

Match result accuracy: 0%

Sharp money signals are designed to evaluate market movement, not predict final winners.

Activity trend

Signal activity — 7 days around 2026-11-12

League breakdown

League Signals Avg score Avg CLV
UEFA Nations League 1 98 25.0%
Segunda División 1 96 27.4%
Coupe de France 1 95 —
Copa del Rey 1 93 126.7%
Primera A 1 90 —

Today's Sharp Signals

FAQ

What is sharp money in betting?

Sharp money is action from informed bettors or syndicates. It often appears as rapid line moves led by sharp books.

How is sharp money different from steam?

Sharp money focuses on who is moving the line (professional behavior). Steam emphasizes speed and breadth of the move.

Does sharp money guarantee value?

No. Sharp action is context, not a bet signal. Always combine with your own analysis.

How does OddsGPT detect sharp action?

We analyze cross-book repricing, sharp-book leadership, breadth, and steam scoring on 1X2 markets.

What is the difference between sharp money and public money?

Public money is recreational betting volume — often visible in ticket counts and popular sides. Sharp money comes from informed bettors who move lines before the market catches up, usually led by sharp sportsbooks.

How is a steam move different from sharp money?

Steam describes speed and breadth — odds shifting quickly across books. Sharp money focuses on who is moving the line and why. A steam move can be sharp-led, but not every steam event is professional action.

How do professionals move betting markets?

Professionals often bet into sharp books first. Those books reprice, sharper peers follow, and soft books lag. OddsGPT tracks this chain through lead-book detection, Sharp Score, and multi-book breadth.

What does Closing Validation / Validated mean?

Closing Validation compares the signal price to the closing line (CLV). Validated means the market moved in the expected direction before kickoff (CLV ≥ +5%). Invalidated means it moved against the signal (CLV ≤ −5%). This is signal-quality research — it is not the same as winning or losing the bet.

Explore every tracked market movement

Monitor opening odds, steam moves, closing prices and bookmaker consensus across all tracked football matches.

View Live Market Moves →
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