Intelligenza di mercatoClosing Odds Efficiency Research
Long-term closing market efficiency and price discovery research.
Research overview
Closing Odds Efficiency analyzes how final market prices form over time — average move size, price discovery, and hold-to-close behavior across monitored fixtures.
Market efficiency by period
| Fixtures | Avg move | Avg CLV | Held to close | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 Days | 0 | — | — | — |
| Last 90 Days | 0 | — | — | — |
| Last 365 Days | 6800 | 12.61% | -2.9% | 33.3% |
Monthly CLV volume
Monthly CLV sample volume
CLV benchmark
FAQ
What are closing odds?
Closing odds are the final prices captured near kickoff — the market's last consensus.
What does beat the close mean?
It means the largest tracked move held through the closing line without reversing.
Is this a betting strategy?
No. Closing analysis here is descriptive market replay for education and research.
What is closing line price discovery?
Price discovery is how sportsbooks move from opening odds through sharp action and steam to a final closing consensus — the market's most efficient price before kickoff.
Opening odds vs closing odds — what's the difference?
Opening odds are the first published price. Closing odds are the final consensus captured near kickoff. The gap between them shows how much the market repriced before the event.
What does closing line explained mean?
The closing line is the last odds the market agreed on before kickoff. It reflects all available information and is why professionals treat it as the efficiency benchmark.
What is market efficiency in closing odds?
Market efficiency measures how cleanly prices converge from open to close — stable moves, broad book agreement, and holds through the closing window. OddsGPT scores this as Market Efficiency.
Explore live closing-window moves
Open Live Market Moves to track every line as markets approach the final closing price.
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