The model missed the final outcome (Draw 0–0).
The model had projected Rizespor U19 at 36.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
C
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Rizespor U19 Draw ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- 1X2: model leaned Rizespor U19; match finished Draw
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The full-time result was Draw 0–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Sep 07, 2026 · 12:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Rizespor U19 1.32 — Alanyaspor U19 1.28
-
Sep 07, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Draw · 0–0
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Draw · Rizespor U19 0–0 Alanyaspor U19
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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U19 league — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beşiktaş U19 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor U19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 | Galatasaray U18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Galatasaray U19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Samsunspor U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Konyaspor U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | İstanbul Başakşehir U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Gaziantep U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Fenerbahce U19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Genclerbirligi U19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Goztepe U19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 | Eyupspor U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Amedspor U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Alanyaspor U19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Rizespor U19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa U19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Corum U19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor U19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray U19 | 6 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 12 |
| 2 | Galatasaray U18 | 5 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 12 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor U19 | 6 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 16 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş U19 | 6 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Fenerbahce U19 | 6 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Samsunspor U19 | 6 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Genclerbirligi U19 | 6 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor U19 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Konyaspor U19 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | İstanbul Başakşehir U19 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Eyupspor U19 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Goztepe U19 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Gaziantep U19 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor U19 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 |
| 15 | Corum U19 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 3 |
| 16 | Alanyaspor U19 | 6 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 17 | Rizespor U19 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Kasimpasa U19 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
| 19 | Amedspor U19 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 7 |
