The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).
The model had projected Vålerenga Femenino at 41.4%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Grado de predicción
F
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Vålerenga Femenino Dibujar ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Correcto
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
- Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- 1X2: model leaned Vålerenga Femenino; match finished Draw
Market lesson
The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Cronología de predicción
Cómo esta predicción pasó del pronóstico a la revisión a tiempo completo.
-
Oct 04, 2026 · 14:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Vålerenga Femenino 1.43 — Rosenborg Femenino 1.17
-
Oct 04, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Instantánea histórica
Congelado en el inicio: el resultado del modelo tal como estaba antes de que comenzara el partido.
Veredicto histórico:
Observe
Decisión histórica
No Primary Bet
Resultado
Missed
Métricas previas al partido (contexto histórico)
Fiabilidad de predicción
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidencia
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Draw · Vålerenga Femenino 1–1 Rosenborg Femenino
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Revisar preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Qué tan precisa fue la predicción?
- Esta página clasifica los mercados direccionales (1X2, Más/Menos de 2,5, BTTS) con respecto al resultado final. El grado de predicción refleja cuántos de esos mercados rastreados coincidieron con la realidad.
- ¿Qué mide la precisión xG?
- xG Accuracy compara el perfil de goles esperados previo al partido del modelo con el marcador real, no si todos los mercados acertaron. Una revisión direccional sólida puede coexistir con una puntuación de precisión xG moderada.
- ¿Por qué no se predijo la puntuación exacta?
- Los resultados de puntuación correcta son colas de baja probabilidad incluso cuando el modelo lee bien el perfil de coincidencia. Destacamos los contenedores de puntuación más altos para el contexto; faltar la línea exacta no invalida una revisión direccional.
- ¿Esto mejora el registro de IA?
- Cada partido finalizado se registra en nuestro proceso de validación. Las tasas de aciertos agregadas y los estudios CLV se publican por separado; esta página es el registro de auditoría por partido.
Las predicciones son sólo para fines informativos. Juega siempre de forma responsable y dentro de tus límites. El rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "34c3f5d078be692612655bb0ff91cd96e8856a10aa19c69808f5016bbfe4ad8c",
"decision_algo_version": "2.5.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.17,
"away_win_prob": 0.2925,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.459,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.541,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2936,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 3.42,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.41,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.42,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.43,
"home_win_prob": 0.414,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : V\u00e5lerenga Femenino or draw and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino"
},
"away_xg": 1.17,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0028,
"edge_gap": 0.1201,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4109,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 29.3,
"draw": 29.4,
"home": 41.4
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.23
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.23,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.43,
"market_odds": 2.23,
"model_odds": 2.42,
"overround": 9.1,
"prob_edge": -3.5,
"value_pct": -7.9,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 2,
"away_played": 17,
"away_score_rate": 69.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 4,
"home_played": 17,
"home_score_rate": 76.1,
"no_prob": 45.9,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 54.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.17,
"home_expected": 1.43,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 7.6
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino or Draw",
"prob": 70.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino or Rosenborg Femenino",
"prob": 70.6
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Rosenborg Femenino",
"prob": 58.6
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.8
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 29.2,
"draw_pct": 29.4,
"home_pct": 41.4,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "+1.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.9,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 2.6,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 7.3,
"implied_prob": 27.4,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 29.4,
"odds": 3.65
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 33.81,
"draw": 25.1,
"home": 41.09
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-10-04 14:59:25",
"closing_source": "apis_closing_odds",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-10-04 14:30:02",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 41.09,
"gap_pp": 0.28,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.37
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.1,
"gap_pp": 4.26,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.36
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 33.81,
"gap_pp": -4.54,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 29.27
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 63.77,
"gap_pp": -15.57,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 36.23,
"gap_pp": 15.57,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.23,
"early": 2.23,
"implied_closing_pct": 41.09,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 41.09,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.65,
"early": 3.65,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.1,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.1,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.71,
"early": 2.71,
"implied_closing_pct": 33.81,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 33.81,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.46,
"early": 1.46,
"implied_closing_pct": 63.77,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 63.77,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.57,
"early": 2.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 36.23,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 36.23,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 15.6,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"lean_card": {
"diff_pp": 1.6,
"ev": 0.147,
"has_edge": true,
"label": "1-1",
"market_odds": 9.25,
"market_prob": 0.1081,
"market_prob_pct": 10.8,
"model_prob": 0.124,
"model_prob_pct": 12.4,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"status_key": "positive_edge"
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.4
},
"top5": [
{
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.4
},
{
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.9
},
{
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 7.6
}
]
},
"home_xg": 1.43,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1531,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.53,
"edge": 0.0152,
"edge_pp": 1.5,
"market_prob": 0.3595,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.459,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1531,
"best_odd": 2.53,
"edge": 0.0152,
"ev": -0.0519,
"implied_prob": 0.3595,
"model_prob": 0.459,
"p_final": 0.3747
},
"p_final": 0.3747,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 10.0,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1613,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0519,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2106,
"best_odd": 1.42,
"edge": -0.021,
"ev": -0.1202,
"implied_prob": 0.6405,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"p_final": 0.6196
}
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2393,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 23.9,
"text": "+23.9%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.221,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -22.1,
"text": "-22.1%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.2393,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no_prob": 45.9,
"sort_key": 10365.37,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.1
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1452,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.38,
"edge": 0.0187,
"edge_pp": 1.9,
"market_prob": 0.389,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1996,
"best_odd": 1.515,
"edge": -0.0258,
"ev": -0.1133,
"implied_prob": 0.611,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5853
},
"p_final": 0.4077,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 12.9,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.2328,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0297,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1452,
"best_odd": 2.38,
"edge": 0.0187,
"ev": -0.0297,
"implied_prob": 0.389,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4077
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2577,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -25.8,
"text": "-25.8%"
},
"ev_under": 0.2743,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 27.4,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2743,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10246.87,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"authority_action": "no_bet",
"authority_note": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"consensus_odds": 2.23,
"decision": "no_bet",
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"ev": -0.0809,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -8.1,
"text": "-8.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"max_ev": -0.0401,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -4.0,
"text": "-4.0%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+0.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 0.3,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0774,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-7.7%",
"show_primary_label": false,
"side_label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"sort_key": 1789.975,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.4
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "2/8",
"alert_breadth_note": "2/8 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +4.9%",
"alert_team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 4.6,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -4.56,
"hero_label": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"market_prob_pct": 41.1,
"market_team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"model_prob_pct": 41.4,
"model_team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Direction aligned; check pricing gap separately",
"steam_score": 18,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 4.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 4.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 4.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 4.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2743,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2743,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 4.5,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.5,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 33,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates V\u00e5lerenga Femenino at 41.4%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 41.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies V\u00e5lerenga Femenino as the value side (41.4%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 0.3,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"calibration_mode": null,
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +27.4% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +27.4% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 4.5/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +27.4% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 4.5/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "74 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "33 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+27.4% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"Decision strength: 4.5/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 74,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0809,
"consensus_ev_display": "-8.1%",
"consensus_odds": 2.23,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+0.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 0.3,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4484304932735426,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0774,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-7.7%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.9,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.26
}
}
},
"bet_status": "no_bet",
"books_breadth_display": "2/8",
"breadth_ratio": 0.25,
"evidence": {
"score": 68,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift conflicts with model",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift conflicts with model",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 22.7,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 2.5,
"steam_coherence": 2.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 74,
"stars": 3,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 4.56,
"market_agreement": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 4.56,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.17,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 6.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.43,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.43,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.43 \u00b7 Away xG 1.17 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +6%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": true,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 4.9,
"steam_conflicts": true,
"steam_move_display": "\u2191 +4.9%",
"steam_team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 33,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 34,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 41,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 34,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 4.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 4.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 4.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 4.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2743,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2743,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 4.5,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.5,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 33,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates V\u00e5lerenga Femenino at 41.4%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 41.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies V\u00e5lerenga Femenino as the value side (41.4%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 0.3,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"calibration_mode": null,
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +27.4% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +27.4% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 4.5/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +27.4% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 4.5/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "74 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "33 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+27.4% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"Decision strength: 4.5/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 74,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0809,
"consensus_ev_display": "-8.1%",
"consensus_odds": 2.23,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+0.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 0.3,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4484304932735426,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0774,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-7.7%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.9,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.26
}
}
},
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"subline": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"tier": "observe"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: V\u00e5lerenga Femenino 1.43 xG vs Rosenborg Femenino 1.17 \u2192 V\u00e5lerenga Femenino 41.4%",
"Market: V\u00e5lerenga Femenino ~41.1% implied",
"Market Drift: V\u00e5lerenga Femenino odds \u2191 +4.9%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 0.31,
"fair_prob": 41.4,
"label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"market_prob": 41.09,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.26,
"fair_prob": 29.36,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 25.1,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -4.56,
"fair_prob": 29.25,
"label": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"market_prob": 33.81,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -13.14,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 61.34,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 13.14,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 38.66,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.37,
"fair_prob": 54.1,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 64.47,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.37,
"fair_prob": 45.9,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 35.53,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": -4.56,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.25,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"market_prob_pct": 33.81,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 4.56,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Conflicts with model",
"positive": false
},
"market_prob_pct": 41.1,
"model_prob_gap_display": "+0.3 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": 0.3,
"model_prob_pct": 41.4,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "+0.3 percentage points",
"gap_pp": 0.3,
"label": "High",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
},
"reliability_headline": "Moderate reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 74,
"reliability_tier": "moderate",
"summary": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino. This disagreement reduces confidence and prevents a Primary bet.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 33,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 34,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 41,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 34,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: V\u00e5lerenga Femenino 1.43 xG vs Rosenborg Femenino 1.17 \u2192 V\u00e5lerenga Femenino 41.4%",
"Market: V\u00e5lerenga Femenino ~41.1% implied",
"Market Drift: V\u00e5lerenga Femenino odds \u2191 +4.9%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -4.56,
"hero_label": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino odds lengthened \u2191 +4.9%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, V\u00e5lerenga Femenino has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.9%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (2/8 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"However, V\u00e5lerenga Femenino has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.9%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (2/8 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"At the same time, V\u00e5lerenga Femenino has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.9%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (2/8), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 4.56,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 12.0 pp (at 41.4%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 12.0,
"max_prob_pct": 41.4,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "aligned",
"largest_gap_label": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"largest_gap_pp": -4.6,
"lead": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned.",
"level": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 4.6,
"title": "Broadly Aligned"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 0.31,
"edge_pp": 0.31,
"fair_prob_pct": 41.4,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"market_prob_pct": 41.09,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 4.26,
"edge_pp": 4.26,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.36,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.1,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -4.56,
"edge_pp": -4.56,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.25,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"market_prob_pct": 33.81,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers V\u00e5lerenga Femenino (41.1%).",
"V\u00e5lerenga Femenino odds have drifted longer across books (\u2191 +4.9%, 2/8) \u2014 market pricing moves against this side.",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, Market \u2192 V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, while V\u00e5lerenga Femenino odds drifted longer (market fade).",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 36.9,
"closing_odds": 2.71,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 36.9,
"entry_odds": 2.71,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 2,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +4.9%",
"odds_delta_pct": 4.9
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 36,
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +2.3%",
"odds_delta_pct": 2.3
}
],
"books_total": 8,
"breadth_display": "2/8",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.15,
"is_drift": true,
"move_context": "Sharpest sharp-led move",
"move_display": "\u2191 +4.9%",
"move_pct_abs": 4.9,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 46m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on V\u00e5lerenga Femenino (swing 2.28 \u2192 2.05 \u2192 2.15) \u2014 net 4.9% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 4.9,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"2.23",
"2.14",
"2.05"
],
"display": "2.28 \u2192 2.05 \u2192 2.15",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 46m",
"pick_team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.28"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.05"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.15"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
2.05,
2.23,
2.15
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,8.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.05"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "2.05"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "2.23"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.15"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 2.05,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 2.15,
"is_drift": true,
"label": "Market Signal",
"move_display": "\u2191 +4.9%",
"open_odds": 2.05,
"summary": "Market moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino while the model still favours another side.",
"team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"tone": "against"
},
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 18,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "2/8",
"current_odds": 2.15,
"move_display": "\u2191 +4.9%",
"open_odds": 2.05,
"pick_team": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"steam_score": 18,
"steam_team_name": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 4.6,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "rosenborg-w",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"away_team_id": 15956,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/15956.webp",
"away_team_name": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"away_team_public_id": "11aHyU4l8KsPxW",
"away_team_slug": "rosenborg-w",
"country_code": "NO",
"country_display_name": "Norway",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/no.svg",
"country_id": 120,
"country_name": "Norway",
"fixture_id": 1495407,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Norway",
"home_team_display_name": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"home_team_id": 15535,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/15535.webp",
"home_team_name": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"home_team_public_id": "4SAvV1Q26mg8H9",
"home_team_slug": "valerenga-w",
"ht.home_team_slug": "valerenga-w",
"league_country": "Norway",
"league_country_display": "Norway",
"league_display_name": "Toppserien",
"league_id": 725,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/725.webp",
"league_name": "Toppserien",
"league_public_id": "0qpd1gYMCjKU8B",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-10-04 15:00:00",
"public_id": "3CVgWXL9gUYZpy",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Oslo",
"venue_name": "Intility Arena"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4194,
"best_odd": 2.71,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.019,
"ev": -0.1353,
"implied_prob": 0.3381,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3381,
"draw": 0.251,
"home": 0.4109
},
"model_prob": 0.2927,
"p_final": 0.3191
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2808,
"best_odd": 3.65,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.012,
"ev": -0.0401,
"implied_prob": 0.251,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3381,
"draw": 0.251,
"home": 0.4109
},
"model_prob": 0.2936,
"p_final": 0.263
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4481,
"best_odd": 2.23,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0013,
"ev": -0.0809,
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3381,
"draw": 0.251,
"home": 0.4109
},
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"p_final": 0.4121
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 2.71,
"edge": -0.0763,
"ev": -0.2067,
"implied_prob": 0.369,
"model_prob": 0.2927
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.65,
"edge": 0.0196,
"ev": 0.0716,
"implied_prob": 0.274,
"model_prob": 0.2936
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 2.23,
"edge": -0.0347,
"ev": -0.0775,
"implied_prob": 0.4484,
"model_prob": 0.4137
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.1531,
"alpha_yes": 0.2106,
"best_no_odd": 2.7,
"best_yes_odd": 1.44,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.1037,
"edge_yes": -0.1037,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2393,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0519,
"ev_yes": -0.221,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1202,
"implied_no": 0.3553,
"implied_yes": 0.6447,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1531,
"best_odd": 2.53,
"edge": 0.0152,
"ev": -0.0519,
"implied_prob": 0.3595,
"model_prob": 0.459,
"p_final": 0.3747
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2106,
"best_odd": 1.42,
"edge": -0.021,
"ev": -0.1202,
"implied_prob": 0.6405,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"p_final": 0.6196
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"p_final_no": 0.3747,
"p_final_yes": 0.6196,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.1996,
"alpha_under": 0.1452,
"best_over_odd": 1.54,
"best_under_odd": 2.46,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.515,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.38,
"edge_over": -0.1314,
"edge_under": 0.1314,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2577,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1133,
"ev_under": 0.2743,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0297,
"implied_over": 0.6134,
"implied_over_mf": 0.611,
"implied_under": 0.3866,
"implied_under_mf": 0.389,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1996,
"best_odd": 1.515,
"edge": -0.0258,
"ev": -0.1133,
"implied_prob": 0.611,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5853
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1452,
"best_odd": 2.38,
"edge": 0.0187,
"ev": -0.0297,
"implied_prob": 0.389,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4077
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.5853,
"p_final_under": 0.4077,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_regime": {
"action": "avoid",
"code": "no_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"stake_mult": 0.0,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "no_bet",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2743,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2743,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2743,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"score": 4.5,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 4.5,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"score": 4.5,
"score_pre_penalty": 4.5
},
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "no_bet",
"final_decision": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 4.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 4.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2743,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2743,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 4.5,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.5,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 33,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates V\u00e5lerenga Femenino at 41.4%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 41.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies V\u00e5lerenga Femenino as the value side (41.4%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 0.3,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"calibration_mode": null,
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +27.4% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +27.4% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 4.5/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +27.4% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 4.5/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "74 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "33 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+27.4% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"Decision strength: 4.5/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 74,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from V\u00e5lerenga Femenino, but the model still strongly favours V\u00e5lerenga Femenino.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0809,
"consensus_ev_display": "-8.1%",
"consensus_odds": 2.23,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+0.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 0.3,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4484304932735426,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0774,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-7.7%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.9,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.26
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.541,
"draw_prob": 0.2936,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4137,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.26
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 2.23,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0013,
"ev": -0.0809,
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1531,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.53,
"edge": 0.0152,
"market_prob": 0.3595,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.459,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1531,
"best_odd": 2.53,
"edge": 0.0152,
"ev": -0.0519,
"implied_prob": 0.3595,
"model_prob": 0.459,
"p_final": 0.3747
},
"p_final": 0.3747,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0519,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2106,
"best_odd": 1.42,
"edge": -0.021,
"ev": -0.1202,
"implied_prob": 0.6405,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"p_final": 0.6196
}
},
"edge": 0.1037,
"ev": 0.2393,
"implied_prob": 0.3553,
"model_prob": 0.459,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1452,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.38,
"edge": 0.0187,
"market_prob": 0.389,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1996,
"best_odd": 1.515,
"edge": -0.0258,
"ev": -0.1133,
"implied_prob": 0.611,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5853
},
"p_final": 0.4077,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0297,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1452,
"best_odd": 2.38,
"edge": 0.0187,
"ev": -0.0297,
"implied_prob": 0.389,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4077
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.1314,
"ev": 0.2743,
"implied_prob": 0.3866,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1495407,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2743,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2927,
"draw": 0.2936,
"home": 0.4137
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2743,
"implied_prob": 0.3866,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2743,
"implied_prob": 0.3866,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": false,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Rosenborg Femenino",
"home": "V\u00e5lerenga Femenino"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.109839,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2393,
"implied_prob": 0.3553,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.459,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0809,
"consensus_ev_display": "-8.1%",
"consensus_odds": 2.23,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+0.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 0.3,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4484304932735426,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0774,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-7.7%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1495407,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-10-04T14:59:27.310642+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Vålerenga Femenino & Rosenborg Femenino!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Toppserien — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brann Femenino | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47 |
| 2 | Fortuna Ålesund Femenino | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 44 |
| 3 | Rosenborg Femenino | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 38 |
| 4 | Vålerenga Femenino | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 35 |
| 5 | Stabæk Femenino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Lyn Femenino | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 26 |
| 7 | Molde Femenino | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Haugesund Femenino | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 |
| 9 | Hønefoss Femenino | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Lillestrøm | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Røa | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 12 | Bodø/Glimt | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brann Femenino | 18 | 54 | 6 | +48 | 47 |
| 2 | Vålerenga Femenino | 18 | 46 | 25 | +21 | 35 |
| 3 | Fortuna Ålesund Femenino | 18 | 44 | 17 | +27 | 44 |
| 4 | Stabæk Femenino | 18 | 36 | 20 | +16 | 27 |
| 5 | Lyn Femenino | 18 | 34 | 26 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 | Rosenborg Femenino | 18 | 33 | 20 | +13 | 38 |
| 7 | Haugesund Femenino | 18 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 18 |
| 8 | Lillestrøm | 18 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 15 |
| 9 | Molde Femenino | 18 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 | Røa | 18 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hønefoss Femenino | 18 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
| 12 | Bodø/Glimt | 18 | 11 | 68 | -57 | 6 |
