Coastal Union · Modelo 41.8%
implícita 9.8%
vehículo eléctrico: 19.5%
Mejor EV (1X2) 19.5%
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5
— Valor
Por qué
El modelo tasa Coastal Union (1X2) unos 32.0 puntos porcentuales por encima de la implícita de cierre — la lectura estructural principal frente a la línea.
Sí 44.2% · No 55.8%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí 14.92% · EV No -15.18%
Lectura de valor: BTTS Sí
Más probable
0-1
Probabilidad 16.3%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.5 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
- Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado -21.8% ·
EV inferior 19.97%
(10 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí 14.92% · EV No -15.18%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí 14.92% · EV No -15.18%
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Estructura de Mercado + Ajuste de Riesgo)
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"key": "12",
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"prob": 50.0
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{
"key": "X2",
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"closing_line_bundle": {
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"closing_capture": "PRE1",
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"early_capture": "PRE30",
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"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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},
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"most_likely": {
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"id": "ou_2_5",
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"away_team_id": 6432,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6432.webp",
"away_team_name": "Simba",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/tz.svg",
"country_name": "Tanzania",
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"league_country": "Tanzania",
"league_id": 567,
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"league_name": "Ligi kuu Bara",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-21 15:30:00",
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"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
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],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
"alpha": 0.3,
"best_odd": 1.26,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.1144,
"ev": -0.2533,
"implied_prob": 0.7071,
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"p_final": 0.5926
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1816,
"best_odd": 4.56,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0111,
"ev": -0.0583,
"implied_prob": 0.1954,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 2.6,
"edge_no": -0.062,
"edge_yes": 0.062,
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"ev_yes": 0.1492,
"implied_no": 0.62,
"implied_yes": 0.38,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 1.97,
"edge_over": -0.1148,
"edge_under": 0.1148,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.218,
"ev_under": 0.1997,
"implied_over": 0.5058,
"implied_under": 0.4942,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
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"confidence": 6.5,
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],
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"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.442,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.391,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.609,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0333,
"ev": 0.1947,
"implied_prob": 0.0976,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Coastal Union"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.062,
"ev": 0.1492,
"implied_prob": 0.38,
"model_prob": 0.442,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1148,
"ev": 0.1997,
"implied_prob": 0.4942,
"model_prob": 0.609,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
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"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1997,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1947,
"implied_prob": 0.0976,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Coastal Union",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
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"ev": 0.1947,
"implied_prob": 0.0976,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Coastal Union",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1492,
"implied_prob": 0.38,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.442,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Simba",
"home": "Coastal Union"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.121617,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1997,
"implied_prob": 0.4942,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.609,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1457785,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-21T18:16:50.502519+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Ligi kuu Bara — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 54 |
| 2 | Simba | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 52 |
| 3 | Azam | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 46 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Tabora United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Pamba Jiji | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 33 |
| 9 | Mashujaa | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 27 |
| 10 | Mtibwa Sugar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 |
| 13 | Namungo | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 |
| 15 | Tanzania Prisons | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 16 | KMC | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 23 | 52 | 8 | +44 | 54 |
| 2 | Simba | 23 | 42 | 9 | +33 | 52 |
| 3 | Azam | 23 | 33 | 9 | +24 | 46 |
| 4 | Tabora United | 24 | 30 | 22 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 23 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 38 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 23 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Pamba Jiji | 24 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 24 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 | Coastal Union | 23 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
| 10 | Mtibwa Sugar | 24 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 26 |
| 11 | Mbeya City | 23 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
| 12 | Namungo | 23 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Fountain Gate | 23 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 25 |
| 14 | KMC | 24 | 13 | 40 | -27 | 9 |
| 15 | Mashujaa | 24 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Tanzania Prisons | 23 | 12 | 32 | -20 | 17 |
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