The model missed the final outcome (VfL Wolfsburg Femenino win 2–4).
The model had projected SC Freiburg Femenino at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Grado de predicción
C
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (6 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 SC Freiburg Femenino VfL Wolfsburg Femenino ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 1-3, 2-1 2-4 ✖ Incorrecto
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 6 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- 1X2: model leaned SC Freiburg Femenino; match finished VfL Wolfsburg Femenino
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The full-time result was VfL Wolfsburg Femenino win 2–4, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
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Cronología de predicción
Cómo esta predicción pasó del pronóstico a la revisión a tiempo completo.
-
May 10, 2026 · 11:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · SC Freiburg Femenino 1.45 — VfL Wolfsburg Femenino 1.25
-
May 09, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result VfL Wolfsburg Femenino win · 2–4
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Instantánea histórica
Congelado en el inicio: el resultado del modelo tal como estaba antes de que comenzara el partido.
Veredicto histórico:
Observe
Decisión histórica
No Primary Bet
Resultado
Missed
Métricas previas al partido (contexto histórico)
Fiabilidad de predicción
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidencia
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.39
CLV
Pending
Final Result
VfL Wolfsburg Femenino win · SC Freiburg Femenino 2–4 VfL Wolfsburg Femenino
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 41.8%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=2)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Revisar preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Qué tan precisa fue la predicción?
- Esta página clasifica los mercados direccionales (1X2, Más/Menos de 2,5, BTTS) con respecto al resultado final. El grado de predicción refleja cuántos de esos mercados rastreados coincidieron con la realidad.
- ¿Qué mide la precisión xG?
- xG Accuracy compara el perfil de goles esperados previo al partido del modelo con el marcador real, no si todos los mercados acertaron. Una revisión direccional sólida puede coexistir con una puntuación de precisión xG moderada.
- ¿Por qué no se predijo la puntuación exacta?
- Los resultados de puntuación correcta son colas de baja probabilidad incluso cuando el modelo lee bien el perfil de coincidencia. Destacamos los contenedores de puntuación más altos para el contexto; faltar la línea exacta no invalida una revisión direccional.
- ¿Esto mejora el registro de IA?
- Cada partido finalizado se registra en nuestro proceso de validación. Las tasas de aciertos agregadas y los estudios CLV se publican por separado; esta página es el registro de auditoría por partido.
Las predicciones son sólo para fines informativos. Juega siempre de forma responsable y dentro de tus límites. El rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
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"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
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"league_name": "Bundesliga Femenina",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 12:00:00",
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"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
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},
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},
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"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T11:59:13.168795+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Bundesliga Femenina — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Múnich Femenino | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Femenino | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Femenino | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen Femenino | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Femenino | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Köln Femenino | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg Femenino | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlín Femenino | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig Femenino | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 11 | Núremberg | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV Femenino | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen Femenino | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena Femenino | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 11 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Múnich Femenino | 26 | 90 | 9 | +81 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Femenino | 26 | 72 | 38 | +34 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Femenino | 26 | 65 | 43 | +22 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino | 26 | 48 | 30 | +18 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen Femenino | 26 | 46 | 36 | +10 | 46 |
| 6 | SC Freiburg Femenino | 26 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 34 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen Femenino | 26 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 43 |
| 8 | Union Berlín Femenino | 26 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig Femenino | 26 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | FC Köln Femenino | 26 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Núremberg | 26 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV Femenino | 26 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen Femenino | 26 | 22 | 63 | -41 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena Femenino | 26 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 11 |
