AI correctly predicted the Mura win.
The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Grado de predicción
F
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Mura Mura ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 2-1 ✖ Incorrecto
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 3 goals materialised
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Mura win 2–1).
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Cronología de predicción
Cómo esta predicción pasó del pronóstico a la revisión a tiempo completo.
-
May 16, 2026 · 14:57 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Mura 1.45 — Maribor 1.25
-
May 17, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Mura win · 2–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Instantánea histórica
Congelado en el inicio: el resultado del modelo tal como estaba antes de que comenzara el partido.
Veredicto histórico:
Observe
Decisión histórica
No Primary Bet
Resultado
Validated
Métricas previas al partido (contexto histórico)
Fiabilidad de predicción
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidencia
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.39
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Mura win · Mura 2–1 Maribor
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 41.8%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=2)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Revisar preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Qué tan precisa fue la predicción?
- Esta página clasifica los mercados direccionales (1X2, Más/Menos de 2,5, BTTS) con respecto al resultado final. El grado de predicción refleja cuántos de esos mercados rastreados coincidieron con la realidad.
- ¿Qué mide la precisión xG?
- xG Accuracy compara el perfil de goles esperados previo al partido del modelo con el marcador real, no si todos los mercados acertaron. Una revisión direccional sólida puede coexistir con una puntuación de precisión xG moderada.
- ¿Por qué no se predijo la puntuación exacta?
- Los resultados de puntuación correcta son colas de baja probabilidad incluso cuando el modelo lee bien el perfil de coincidencia. Destacamos los contenedores de puntuación más altos para el contexto; faltar la línea exacta no invalida una revisión direccional.
- ¿Esto mejora el registro de IA?
- Cada partido finalizado se registra en nuestro proceso de validación. Las tasas de aciertos agregadas y los estudios CLV se publican por separado; esta página es el registro de auditoría por partido.
Las predicciones son sólo para fines informativos. Juega siempre de forma responsable y dentro de tus límites. El rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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],
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}
},
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},
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},
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],
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},
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},
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},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
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"signals": {
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},
"type": "neutral",
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},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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},
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},
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}
},
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"match_regime": {
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},
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"probabilities": {
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},
"reason_codes": [
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],
"secondary_pick": null,
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"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
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"home": "Mura"
},
"top_pick": {
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"slot": "primary",
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},
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}
},
"fixture_id": 1384404,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:57:23.512130+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Primera Liga de Eslovenia — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Celje | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 74 |
| 2 | Koper | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 |
| 3 | Bravo | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62 |
| 4 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 |
| 5 | Maribor | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Radomlje | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 7 | Aluminij | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 36 |
| 8 | Mura | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 31 |
| 9 | Primorje | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | NK Domzale | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Celje | 34 | 85 | 32 | +53 | 74 |
| 2 | Koper | 34 | 71 | 43 | +28 | 67 |
| 3 | Bravo | 34 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 62 |
| 4 | Maribor | 34 | 57 | 43 | +14 | 53 |
| 5 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 34 | 50 | 40 | +10 | 55 |
| 6 | Radomlje | 34 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 45 |
| 7 | Aluminij | 34 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 |
| 8 | Mura | 34 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 31 |
| 9 | Primorje | 34 | 31 | 74 | -43 | 22 |
| 10 | NK Domzale | 18 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 12 |
