West Ham vs Leeds Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

May 24, 2026 - 15:00
1.18
1.29
32% 30% 37%
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5 — Valor
vehículo eléctrico 25.6% Modelo 55.1%
Secundaria (valor equilibrado): BTTS No (vehículo eléctrico 10.6%) — 48.1% Modelo
EV más bajo que el primario, pero con mayor probabilidad de modelo (más “estable” cuando se muestra).
Ambos Equipos Marcarán Mejor valor (+EV)
51.9% · No 48.1%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -14.37% · EV No 10.63%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
1X2 Mejor valor (+EV)
Leeds · Modelo 37.4%
implícita 24.9%
vehículo eléctrico: 6.2%
Mejor EV (1X2) 6.2%
Perspectivas de marcador exacto Fuera / diversión
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.9%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
El total de objetivos esperados (suma xG) se encuentra en una banda límite: la variación de los resultados es alta.(ΣxG ≈ 2.47)
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.0 / 10
  • Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
  • EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
  • Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
  • Probabilidad de empate superior al 30% (−0,5)
  • Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5: EV terminado -22.32% · EV inferior 25.63% (12 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -14.37% · EV No 10.63%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
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      "away_win_prob": 0.3739,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3049,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.67,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.28,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.11,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.18,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3212,
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    "api_prediction": {
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      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Leeds"
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    "away_xg": 1.29,
    "betting_insight": {
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        "market_prob": 0.3395,
        "model_prob": 0.3742,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 30.5,
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        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
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        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 13,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 69.3,
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        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.9,
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            "away": 1,
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            "away": 0,
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            "prob": 69.5
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        "pick_key": "12",
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      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 37.4,
        "draw_pct": 30.5,
        "home_pct": 32.1,
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    "home_xg": 1.18,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "ev_under": 0.2012,
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        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2012,
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        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 55.1,
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        "ev_yes": -0.1852,
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        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0823,
        "no_prob": 48.1,
        "sort_key": 10074.07,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 51.9
      },
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        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0008,
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3395,
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      "away_team_name": "Leeds",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
      "country_name": "England",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 48,
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      "league_country": "England",
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      "league_name": "Premier League",
      "league_season": 2025,
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      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
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          "pred_conf_md_xg_borderline",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_ou",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
        ],
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
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      },
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "alpha": 0.2857,
            "best_odd": 3.51,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": 0.0091,
            "ev": -0.0106,
            "implied_prob": 0.2728,
            "model_prob": 0.3046,
            "p_final": 0.2819
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            "best_odd": 2.47,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.109,
            "implied_prob": 0.3877,
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          "ev_yes": -0.1852,
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          "implied_yes": 0.589,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
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          "best_over_odd": 1.79,
          "best_under_odd": 2.18,
          "edge_over": -0.1001,
          "edge_under": 0.1001,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1963,
          "ev_under": 0.2012,
          "implied_over": 0.5491,
          "implied_under": 0.4509,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
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      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.47,
      "variance_flag": true
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        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
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          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
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        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
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        "active": false,
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      },
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        "scoring_type": "balanced",
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          "draw_prob": 0.3046,
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          "total_xg": 2.47,
          "under_prob": 0.551,
          "xg_diff": 0.11
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0148,
          "ev": -0.0008,
          "implied_prob": 0.3395,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.3742,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Leeds"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.07,
          "ev": 0.0823,
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          "model_prob": 0.481,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
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          "edge": 0.1001,
          "ev": 0.2012,
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          "value_side": "under"
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        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
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        "draw": 0.3046,
        "home": 0.3212
      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "variance_medium"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Leeds",
        "home": "West Ham"
      },
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        "composite_score": 0.051901,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2012,
        "implied_prob": 0.4509,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.551,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1379348,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-18T01:56:39.956366+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

Obtén predicciones premium para West Ham & Leeds!

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Volver a Predicciones
Premier League Premier LeagueClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Arsenal 37 25 7 5 82
2 Manchester City 37 23 9 5 78
3 Manchester United 37 19 11 7 68
4 Aston Villa 37 18 8 11 62
5 Liverpool 37 17 8 12 59
6 Bournemouth 37 13 17 7 56
7 Brighton 37 14 11 12 53
8 Chelsea 37 14 10 13 52
9 Brentford 37 14 10 13 52
10 Sunderland 37 13 12 12 51
11 Newcastle 37 14 7 16 49
12 Everton 37 13 10 14 49
13 Fulham 37 14 7 16 49
14 Leeds 37 11 14 12 47
15 Crystal Palace 37 11 12 14 45
16 Nottingham Forest 37 11 10 16 43
17 Tottenham 37 9 11 17 38
18 West Ham 37 9 9 19 36
19 Burnley 37 4 9 24 21
20 Wolves 37 3 10 24 19
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Manchester City 37 76 33 +43 78
2 Arsenal 37 69 26 +43 82
3 Manchester United 37 66 50 +16 68
4 Liverpool 37 62 52 +10 59
5 Chelsea 37 57 50 +7 52
6 Bournemouth 37 57 53 +4 56
7 Aston Villa 37 54 48 +6 62
8 Brentford 37 54 51 +3 52
9 Newcastle 37 53 53 0 49
10 Brighton 37 52 43 +9 53
11 Leeds 37 49 53 -4 47
12 Everton 37 47 49 -2 49
13 Nottingham Forest 37 47 50 -3 43
14 Tottenham 37 47 57 -10 38
15 Fulham 37 45 51 -6 49
16 West Ham 37 43 65 -22 36
17 Sunderland 37 40 47 -7 51
18 Crystal Palace 37 40 49 -9 45
19 Burnley 37 37 74 -37 21
20 Wolves 37 26 67 -41 19
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Arsenal 37 62.1 27.7 +34.4 82
2 Manchester City 37 67.5 41.0 +26.5 78
3 Manchester United 37 62.8 47.7 +15.1 68
4 Chelsea 37 62.6 50.0 +12.6 52
5 Liverpool 37 57.2 45.7 +11.5 59
6 Crystal Palace 37 56.5 47.8 +8.7 45
7 Brighton 37 56.5 48.1 +8.4 53
8 Newcastle 37 56.9 49.8 +7.1 49
9 Brentford 37 58.1 51.4 +6.7 52
10 Bournemouth 37 61.5 54.9 +6.6 56
11 Leeds 37 52.8 52.4 +0.4 47
12 Fulham 37 46.2 51.9 -5.7 49
13 Aston Villa 37 46.0 53.0 -7.0 62
14 Everton 37 45.5 54.9 -9.4 49
15 Nottingham Forest 37 44.4 55.3 -10.9 43
16 Tottenham 37 39.8 51.9 -12.1 38
17 West Ham 37 42.5 55.2 -12.7 36
18 Sunderland 37 37.2 52.5 -15.3 51
19 Wolves 37 33.5 57.0 -23.5 19
20 Burnley 37 31.2 72.9 -41.7 21