Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Grenoble Foot 38 Dibujar ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correcto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
3.24
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Grenoble Foot 38 1–1 Clermont Foot
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "a7a66f4b5ff68a9738511095db1ff621d74be03807b57a70fde43cecaea351a1",
"decision_algo_version": "2.5.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.29,
"away_win_prob": 0.347,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.546,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.88,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.37,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.81,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.31,
"home_win_prob": 0.3564,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Grenoble Foot 38 or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Grenoble Foot 38"
},
"away_xg": 1.29,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.034,
"edge_gap": 0.0087,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.39,
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 34.7,
"draw": 29.7,
"home": 35.6
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.47
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.47,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Grenoble Foot 38 Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.56,
"market_odds": 2.47,
"model_odds": 2.81,
"overround": 3.8,
"prob_edge": -4.9,
"value_pct": -12.1,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 3,
"away_played": 6,
"away_score_rate": 72.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 3,
"home_failed_to_score": 2,
"home_played": 6,
"home_score_rate": 73.0,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.29,
"home_expected": 1.31,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.1
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Grenoble Foot 38 or Draw",
"prob": 65.2
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Grenoble Foot 38 or Clermont Foot",
"prob": 70.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Clermont Foot",
"prob": 64.3
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Grenoble Foot 38 or Clermont Foot",
"pick_prob": 70.3
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 34.7,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 35.6,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Grenoble Foot 38"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 0.5,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 12.4,
"implied_prob": 30.9,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Clermont Foot Win",
"model_prob": 34.7,
"odds": 3.24
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Clermont Foot",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 29.73,
"draw": 31.27,
"home": 39.0
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-09-18 18:00:28",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-09-18 17:32:04",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.0,
"gap_pp": -3.4,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 35.59
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.27,
"gap_pp": -1.6,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.68
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 29.73,
"gap_pp": 5.0,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 34.73
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 38.77,
"gap_pp": 9.43,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 61.23,
"gap_pp": -9.43,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.47,
"early": 2.47,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.0,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.0,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.08,
"early": 3.08,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.27,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.27,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.24,
"early": 3.24,
"implied_closing_pct": 29.73,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 29.73,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.48,
"early": 2.48,
"implied_closing_pct": 38.77,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 38.77,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.57,
"early": 1.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 61.23,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 61.23,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"lean_card": {
"diff_pp": -4.1,
"ev": -0.244,
"has_edge": false,
"label": "1-1",
"market_odds": 6.0,
"market_prob": 0.1667,
"market_prob_pct": 16.7,
"model_prob": 0.126,
"model_prob_pct": 12.6,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"status_key": "no_value"
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
},
"top5": [
{
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.1
}
]
},
"home_xg": 1.31,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1582,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.32,
"edge": 0.0128,
"edge_pp": 1.3,
"market_prob": 0.4013,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1582,
"best_odd": 2.32,
"edge": 0.0128,
"ev": -0.0394,
"implied_prob": 0.4013,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.4141
},
"p_final": 0.4141,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 8.1,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1182,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0394,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2175,
"best_odd": 1.555,
"edge": -0.0176,
"ev": -0.0963,
"implied_prob": 0.5987,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.5812
},
"value_side": "over"
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1954,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 19.5,
"text": "+19.5%"
},
"ev_under": -0.1608,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -16.1,
"text": "-16.1%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1954,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10325.86,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2025,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.92,
"edge": 0.0135,
"edge_pp": 1.4,
"market_prob": 0.4783,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2227,
"best_odd": 1.76,
"edge": -0.0149,
"ev": -0.1079,
"implied_prob": 0.5217,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"p_final": 0.5069
},
"p_final": 0.4918,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 6.7,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.0464,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0558,
"value_side": "yes",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2025,
"best_odd": 1.92,
"edge": 0.0135,
"ev": -0.0558,
"implied_prob": 0.4783,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"p_final": 0.4918
}
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1491,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -14.9,
"text": "-14.9%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.09,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 9.0,
"text": "+9.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.09,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10081.0,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"authority_action": "no_bet",
"authority_note": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"consensus_odds": 2.47,
"decision": "no_bet",
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"ev": -0.0727,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -7.3,
"text": "-7.3%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.39,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"max_ev": 0.0082,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 0.8,
"text": "+0.8%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"raw_edge_display": "-3.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -3.4,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.1209,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%",
"show_primary_label": false,
"side_label": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"sort_key": 5206.56,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.6
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "9/9",
"alert_breadth_note": "9/9 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +9.5%",
"alert_team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 5.0,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 4.97,
"hero_label": "Clermont Foot",
"market_prob_pct": 39.0,
"market_team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"model_prob_pct": 35.6,
"model_team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Direction aligned; check pricing gap separately",
"steam_score": 44,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 5.0,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 5.0,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 5.0,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 5.0,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1954,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1954,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.7,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Grenoble Foot 38 at 35.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 39.0%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Grenoble Foot 38 as the value side (35.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 3.4,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +19.5% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +19.5% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +19.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+19.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 80,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0727,
"consensus_ev_display": "-7.3%",
"consensus_odds": 2.47,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.39,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"raw_edge_display": "-3.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -3.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4048582995951417,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.1209,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": true,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -3.0,
"reasons": [
"Low xG separation gap=0.02 (noise / no edge)"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "flat",
"block_value_alert": true,
"separation_score": -20,
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"xg_gap": 0.02
}
}
},
"bet_status": "no_bet",
"books_breadth_display": "9/9",
"breadth_ratio": 1.0,
"evidence": {
"score": 68,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift conflicts with model",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift conflicts with model",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 22.5,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 10.0,
"steam_coherence": 0.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 80,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 4.97,
"market_agreement": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 4.97,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.29,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": -3.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.31,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.31,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.31 \u00b7 Away xG 1.29 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation -3%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": true,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.5,
"steam_conflicts": true,
"steam_move_display": "\u2191 +9.5%",
"steam_team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 36,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 29,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 35,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 29,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 5.0,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 5.0,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 5.0,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 5.0,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1954,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1954,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.7,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Grenoble Foot 38 at 35.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 39.0%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Grenoble Foot 38 as the value side (35.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 3.4,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +19.5% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +19.5% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +19.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+19.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 80,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0727,
"consensus_ev_display": "-7.3%",
"consensus_odds": 2.47,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.39,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"raw_edge_display": "-3.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -3.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4048582995951417,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.1209,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": true,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -3.0,
"reasons": [
"Low xG separation gap=0.02 (noise / no edge)"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "flat",
"block_value_alert": true,
"separation_score": -20,
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"xg_gap": 0.02
}
}
},
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"subline": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"tier": "observe"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Grenoble Foot 38 1.31 xG vs Clermont Foot 1.29 \u2192 Grenoble Foot 38 35.6%",
"Market: Grenoble Foot 38 ~39.0% implied",
"Market Drift: Grenoble Foot 38 odds \u2191 +9.5%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Grenoble Foot 38, but the market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.36,
"fair_prob": 35.64,
"label": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"market_prob": 39.0,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -1.62,
"fair_prob": 29.65,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 31.27,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.97,
"fair_prob": 34.7,
"label": "Clermont Foot",
"market_prob": 29.73,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.37,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 39.83,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.37,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 60.17,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.67,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 47.83,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.67,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 52.17,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": 4.97,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.7,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Clermont Foot",
"market_prob_pct": 29.73,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Grenoble Foot 38"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 4.97,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Conflicts with model",
"positive": false
},
"market_prob_pct": 39.0,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-3.4 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -3.4,
"model_prob_pct": 35.6,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-3.4 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -3.4,
"label": "High",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 80,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38. This disagreement reduces confidence and prevents a Primary bet.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 36,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 29,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 35,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 29,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Grenoble Foot 38 1.31 xG vs Clermont Foot 1.29 \u2192 Grenoble Foot 38 35.6%",
"Market: Grenoble Foot 38 ~39.0% implied",
"Market Drift: Grenoble Foot 38 odds \u2191 +9.5%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Grenoble Foot 38, but the market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 4.97,
"hero_label": "Clermont Foot",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Grenoble Foot 38 odds lengthened \u2191 +9.5%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, Grenoble Foot 38 has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.5%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "Drift away from Grenoble Foot 38 \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.5% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"However, Grenoble Foot 38 has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.5%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Grenoble Foot 38 \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.5% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"At the same time, Grenoble Foot 38 has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.5%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (9/9) supports the current market view on Grenoble Foot 38."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 4.97,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 0.9 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 0.9,
"max_prob_pct": 35.6,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "aligned",
"largest_gap_label": "Clermont Foot",
"largest_gap_pp": 5.0,
"lead": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned.",
"level": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 5.0,
"title": "Broadly Aligned"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": -3.36,
"edge_pp": -3.36,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.64,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"market_prob_pct": 39.0,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -1.62,
"edge_pp": -1.62,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 31.27,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 4.97,
"edge_pp": 4.97,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.7,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Clermont Foot",
"market_prob_pct": 29.73,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "Drift away from Grenoble Foot 38 \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.5% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Grenoble Foot 38 (39.0%).",
"Grenoble Foot 38 odds have drifted longer across books (\u2191 +9.5%, 9/9) \u2014 market pricing moves against this side.",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Grenoble Foot 38, Market \u2192 Grenoble Foot 38, while Grenoble Foot 38 odds drifted longer (market fade).",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 30.86,
"closing_odds": 3.24,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 30.86,
"entry_odds": 3.24,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 9,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 7,
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +11.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 11.4
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.8%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.8
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.5%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.5
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.5%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.5
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 2,
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.5%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.5
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 5,
"bookmaker_name": "SBO",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.3%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.3
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 36,
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.1%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.1
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 3,
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +8.9%",
"odds_delta_pct": 8.9
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +7.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 7.4
}
],
"books_total": 9,
"breadth_display": "9/9",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.3,
"is_drift": true,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +9.5%",
"move_pct_abs": 9.5,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 92h 37m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book drift on Grenoble Foot 38 (9.5%, 9/9) \u2014 aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side.",
"Noticeable drift \u2014 odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam)."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.5,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"2.47",
"2.29",
"2.10"
],
"display": "2.47 \u2192 2.10 \u2192 2.30",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 92h 37m",
"pick_team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.47"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.10"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.30"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
2.1,
2.47,
2.3
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,8.3",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.10"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "2.10"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "2.47"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.30"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 2.1,
"page_alert_line": "Broad drift across 9/9 sportsbooks on Grenoble Foot 38",
"phase_label": "Market drift",
"phase_tip": "Broad lengthening \u2014 market pricing moves against the tracked side.",
"pick_team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "fade",
"signal_icon": "\u2198",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 2.3,
"is_drift": true,
"label": "Market Signal",
"move_display": "\u2191 +9.5%",
"open_odds": 2.1,
"summary": "Market moved away from Grenoble Foot 38 while the model still favours another side.",
"team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"tone": "against"
},
"signal_key": "market_drift",
"signal_label": "Drift",
"steam_score": 44,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "9/9",
"current_odds": 2.3,
"move_display": "\u2191 +9.5%",
"open_odds": 2.1,
"pick_team": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"steam_score": 44,
"steam_team_name": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.0,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "clermont-foot",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Clermont Foot",
"away_team_id": 99,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/99.webp",
"away_team_name": "Clermont Foot",
"away_team_public_id": "3CNwMjE5AF1iUS",
"away_team_slug": "clermont-foot",
"country_code": "FR",
"country_display_name": "France",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/fr.svg",
"country_id": 56,
"country_name": "France",
"fixture_id": 1552479,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "France",
"home_team_display_name": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"home_team_id": 101,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/101.webp",
"home_team_name": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"home_team_public_id": "5T8CRx8PyRCUtz",
"home_team_slug": "grenoble",
"ht.home_team_slug": "grenoble",
"league_country": "France",
"league_country_display": "France",
"league_display_name": "Ligue 2",
"league_id": 62,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/62.webp",
"league_name": "Ligue 2",
"league_public_id": "0evsbGwHhHZb70",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-18 18:00:00",
"public_id": "2LPXTMG9JpjTlr",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"venue_name": "Stade des Alpes"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2775,
"best_odd": 3.24,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0139,
"ev": 0.0082,
"implied_prob": 0.2973,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.2973,
"draw": 0.3127,
"home": 0.39
},
"model_prob": 0.3473,
"p_final": 0.3112
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2928,
"best_odd": 3.08,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0047,
"ev": -0.0512,
"implied_prob": 0.3127,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.2973,
"draw": 0.3127,
"home": 0.39
},
"model_prob": 0.2968,
"p_final": 0.3081
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.427,
"best_odd": 2.47,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0145,
"ev": -0.0727,
"implied_prob": 0.39,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.2973,
"draw": 0.3127,
"home": 0.39
},
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"p_final": 0.3754
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 3.24,
"edge": 0.0386,
"ev": 0.1252,
"implied_prob": 0.3086,
"model_prob": 0.3473
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.08,
"edge": -0.0279,
"ev": -0.0859,
"implied_prob": 0.3247,
"model_prob": 0.2968
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 2.47,
"edge": -0.0489,
"ev": -0.1208,
"implied_prob": 0.4049,
"model_prob": 0.3559
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.2227,
"alpha_yes": 0.2025,
"best_no_odd": 1.87,
"best_yes_odd": 2.0,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": -0.0667,
"edge_yes": 0.0667,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1491,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.1079,
"ev_yes": 0.09,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.0558,
"implied_no": 0.5217,
"implied_yes": 0.4783,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2227,
"best_odd": 1.76,
"edge": -0.0149,
"ev": -0.1079,
"implied_prob": 0.5217,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"p_final": 0.5069
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2025,
"best_odd": 1.92,
"edge": 0.0135,
"ev": -0.0558,
"implied_prob": 0.4783,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"p_final": 0.4918
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"p_final_no": 0.5069,
"p_final_yes": 0.4918,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.1582,
"alpha_under": 0.2175,
"best_over_odd": 2.48,
"best_under_odd": 1.62,
"consensus_over_odd": 2.32,
"consensus_under_odd": 1.555,
"edge_over": 0.0837,
"edge_under": -0.0837,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1954,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.0394,
"ev_under": -0.1608,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0963,
"implied_over": 0.3983,
"implied_over_mf": 0.4013,
"implied_under": 0.6017,
"implied_under_mf": 0.5987,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1582,
"best_odd": 2.32,
"edge": 0.0128,
"ev": -0.0394,
"implied_prob": 0.4013,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.4141
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2175,
"best_odd": 1.555,
"edge": -0.0176,
"ev": -0.0963,
"implied_prob": 0.5987,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.5812
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.4141,
"p_final_under": 0.5812,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_regime": {
"action": "avoid",
"code": "no_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"stake_mult": 0.0,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "no_bet",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1954,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1954,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1954,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.0,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 4.7,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.0,
"score_pre_penalty": 4.7
},
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "no_bet",
"final_decision": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 5.0,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 5.0,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1954,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1954,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.7,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Grenoble Foot 38 at 35.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 39.0%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Grenoble Foot 38 as the value side (35.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 3.4,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Grenoble Foot 38",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +19.5% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +19.5% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +19.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+19.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 80,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Grenoble Foot 38, but the model still strongly favours Grenoble Foot 38.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0727,
"consensus_ev_display": "-7.3%",
"consensus_odds": 2.47,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.39,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"raw_edge_display": "-3.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -3.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4048582995951417,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.1209,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": true,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -3.0,
"reasons": [
"Low xG separation gap=0.02 (noise / no edge)"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "flat",
"block_value_alert": true,
"separation_score": -20,
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"xg_gap": 0.02
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2968,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3559,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.02
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 2.47,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0145,
"ev": -0.0727,
"implied_prob": 0.39,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Grenoble Foot 38"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2025,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.92,
"edge": 0.0135,
"market_prob": 0.4783,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2227,
"best_odd": 1.76,
"edge": -0.0149,
"ev": -0.1079,
"implied_prob": 0.5217,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"p_final": 0.5069
},
"p_final": 0.4918,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0558,
"value_side": "yes",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2025,
"best_odd": 1.92,
"edge": 0.0135,
"ev": -0.0558,
"implied_prob": 0.4783,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"p_final": 0.4918
}
},
"edge": 0.0667,
"ev": 0.09,
"implied_prob": 0.4783,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1582,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.32,
"edge": 0.0128,
"market_prob": 0.4013,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1582,
"best_odd": 2.32,
"edge": 0.0128,
"ev": -0.0394,
"implied_prob": 0.4013,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.4141
},
"p_final": 0.4141,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0394,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2175,
"best_odd": 1.555,
"edge": -0.0176,
"ev": -0.0963,
"implied_prob": 0.5987,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.5812
},
"value_side": "over"
},
"edge": 0.0837,
"ev": 0.1954,
"implied_prob": 0.3983,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1552479,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1954,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3473,
"draw": 0.2968,
"home": 0.3559
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.09,
"implied_prob": 0.4783,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.09,
"implied_prob": 0.4783,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": false,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Clermont Foot",
"home": "Grenoble Foot 38"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.065928,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1954,
"implied_prob": 0.3983,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0727,
"consensus_ev_display": "-7.3%",
"consensus_odds": 2.47,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.39,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"raw_edge_display": "-3.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -3.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4048582995951417,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.1209,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1552479,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-18T18:00:31.062080+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Grenoble Foot 38 & Clermont Foot!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Ligue 2 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Reims | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nancy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Annecy FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon FCO | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 18 | Laval | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 7 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | Reims | 7 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Rodez | 7 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Metz | 7 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Dijon FCO | 7 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | En Avant Guingamp | 7 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 7 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 7 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Annecy FC | 7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Nantes | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Nancy | 7 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Laval | 7 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Montpellier | 7 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 12 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Sochaux | 7 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 7 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 7 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
