Estadísticas / Fútbol / Morocco. Botola Pro / Difaa EL Jadida vs Olympique Dcheïra

Difaa EL Jadida vs Olympique Dcheïra Statistics & Analysis

Jun 12, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.09
2 1.08
xG Accuracy: 60%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Difaa EL Jadida Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "96303c1a4ed3d7df2b84e6caa5f51c2bfbed6134e47e493cc755db58f21b9bb1",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.08,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3331,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.544,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.456,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3287,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.0,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.04,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.96,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.09,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3382,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.369,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.631
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Difaa EL Jadida or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Difaa EL Jadida"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.08,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Difaa EL Jadida",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0362,
        "edge_gap": 0.0045,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.374,
        "model_prob": 0.3378,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 33.3,
          "draw": 32.9,
          "home": 33.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.48
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.48,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Difaa EL Jadida Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.67,
        "market_odds": 2.48,
        "model_odds": 2.96,
        "overround": 7.8,
        "prob_edge": -6.5,
        "value_pct": -16.2,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 4,
        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 23,
        "away_score_rate": 66.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 23,
        "home_score_rate": 66.4,
        "no_prob": 54.4,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 54.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 45.6
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.08,
        "home_expected": 1.09,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 12.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 12.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 11.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.3
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Difaa EL Jadida or Draw",
            "prob": 66.7
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Difaa EL Jadida or Olympique Dche\u00efra",
            "prob": 67.1
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Olympique Dche\u00efra",
            "prob": 66.2
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Difaa EL Jadida or Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "pick_prob": 67.1
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 33.3,
        "draw_pct": 32.9,
        "home_pct": 33.8,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Difaa EL Jadida"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.17,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 36.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 63.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.17,
        "under_prob": 63.1
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 11.9,
        "implied_prob": 29.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Olympique Dche\u00efra Win",
        "model_prob": 33.3,
        "odds": 3.36
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Difaa EL Jadida",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 37.4,
          "gap_pp": -3.62,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 33.78
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 35.0,
          "gap_pp": -2.11,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 32.89
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 27.6,
          "gap_pp": 5.73,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 33.33
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 37.41,
          "gap_pp": -0.51,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 36.9
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 62.59,
          "gap_pp": 0.51,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 63.1
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.48,
          "early": 2.48,
          "implied_closing_pct": 37.4,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 37.4,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.65,
          "early": 2.65,
          "implied_closing_pct": 35.0,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 35.0,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.36,
          "early": 3.36,
          "implied_closing_pct": 27.6,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 27.6,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.51,
          "early": 2.51,
          "implied_closing_pct": 37.41,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 37.41,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.5,
          "early": 1.5,
          "implied_closing_pct": 62.59,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 62.59,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 5.7,
        "kind": "1x2_a"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 13.4
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.09,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.048,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -4.8,
          "text": "-4.8%"
        },
        "ev_yes": 0.026,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 2.6,
          "text": "+2.6%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.026,
        "no_prob": 54.4,
        "sort_key": 5220.8,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 45.6
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0111,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -1.1,
          "text": "-1.1%"
        },
        "ev_under": -0.0661,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -6.6,
          "text": "-6.6%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0111,
        "over_prob": 36.9,
        "sort_key": 1797.225,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 63.1,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1107,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -11.1,
          "text": "-11.1%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.374,
        "max_ev": -0.0198,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -2.0,
          "text": "-2.0%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.3378,
        "side_label": "Difaa EL Jadida",
        "sort_key": 1795.05,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 820.2,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 13.4
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "11/13",
        "alert_breadth_note": "11/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
        "alert_move": "\u2193 -2.9%",
        "alert_team": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 5.7,
        "has_alert": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 5.71,
        "hero_label": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "market_prob_pct": 37.4,
        "market_team": "Difaa EL Jadida",
        "model_prob_pct": 33.8,
        "model_team": "Difaa EL Jadida",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "\u2713",
        "status_key": "aligned",
        "status_label": "Reliable forecast",
        "status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
        "steam_score": 43,
        "steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "B",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": -3.58,
          "fair_prob": 33.82,
          "label": "Difaa EL Jadida",
          "market_prob": 37.4,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -2.13,
          "fair_prob": 32.87,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 35.0,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 5.71,
          "fair_prob": 33.31,
          "label": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
          "market_prob": 27.6,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 0.49,
          "fair_prob": 36.9,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 36.41,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -0.49,
          "fair_prob": 63.1,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 63.59,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 1.38,
          "fair_prob": 45.6,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 44.22,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -1.38,
          "fair_prob": 54.4,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 55.78,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": 5.71,
        "fair_prob_pct": 33.31,
        "hero_side": "away",
        "hero_team_name": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "market_prob_pct": 27.6,
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "steam_team_name": "Olympique Dche\u00efra"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "moderate",
          "edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
          "max_gap_pp": 5.71,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "moderate",
        "divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
        "divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
        "divergence_tier": "moderate",
        "edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Difaa EL Jadida",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
          "market_prob_pct": 37.4,
          "model_prob_pct": 33.8,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
          "reliability_icon": "\u2713",
          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
          "summary": "Both lean Difaa EL Jadida, but the market prices them higher (37.4% vs model 33.8%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 5.71,
        "hero_label": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "Olympique Dche\u00efra odds shortened \u2193 -2.9%.",
        "market_agreement": "strong",
        "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "",
          "gap_tier": "mild",
          "lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Olympique Dche\u00efra.",
          "note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Olympique Dche\u00efra.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Olympique Dche\u00efra.",
            "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Olympique Dche\u00efra."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on Olympique Dche\u00efra.",
            "Recent line movement on Olympique Dche\u00efra (\u2193 -2.9%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (11/13) supports the current market view on Olympique Dche\u00efra."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 5.71,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Top two 1X2 outcomes within 0.5 percentage points."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 0.5,
          "max_prob_pct": 33.8,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": -3.58,
            "fair_prob_pct": 33.82,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Difaa EL Jadida",
            "market_prob_pct": 37.4,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -2.13,
            "fair_prob_pct": 32.87,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 35.0,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 5.71,
            "fair_prob_pct": 33.31,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
            "market_prob_pct": 27.6,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Olympique Dche\u00efra.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Difaa EL Jadida (37.4%).",
          "Olympique Dche\u00efra has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -2.9%, 11/13).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Difaa EL Jadida, Market \u2192 Difaa EL Jadida, Recent sharp money \u2192 Olympique Dche\u00efra.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 29.76,
        "closing_odds": 3.36,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 29.76,
        "entry_odds": 3.36,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "books_reacting": 11,
        "books_total": 13,
        "breadth_display": "11/13",
        "clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
        "clv_status": "evaluated",
        "current_odds": 3.3,
        "move_context": "Highest consensus move",
        "move_display": "\u2193 -2.9%",
        "move_pct_abs": 2.9,
        "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
        "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 59m",
        "narrative_paragraphs": [
          "Market support on Olympique Dche\u00efra (2.9%) \u2014 11/13 books shortening the line.",
          "A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
        ],
        "narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
        "odds_path": {
          "display": "4.19 \u2192 3.25 \u2192 3.30",
          "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
          "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 59m",
          "pick_team": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
          "points": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "4.19"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "extreme",
              "value": "3.25"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "3.30"
            }
          ],
          "sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,7.2 56.0,18.0",
          "sparkline_trend": "flat",
          "sparkline_trend_label": "Stable"
        },
        "open_odds": 3.4,
        "page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 11/13 sportsbooks on Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "phase_label": "Efficient",
        "phase_tip": "Stable consensus \u2014 limited edge from further drift.",
        "pick_team": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "ref_book": "Bet365",
        "seo_title_alert": "",
        "sharp_leader": "Betfair",
        "show": true,
        "signal_badge_class": "confirm",
        "signal_icon": "\u2197",
        "signal_key": "market_support",
        "signal_label": "Market support",
        "steam_score": 43,
        "steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "B",
        "title": "Market Move Intelligence"
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "11/13",
        "current_odds": 3.3,
        "move_display": "\u2193 -2.9%",
        "open_odds": 3.4,
        "pick_team": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "steam_score": 43,
        "steam_team_name": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "steam_tier": "B"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 5.7,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 3454,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3454.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
      "country_code": "MA",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ma.svg",
      "country_name": "Morocco",
      "fixture_id": 1550843,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Morocco",
      "home_team_id": 964,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/964.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Difaa EL Jadida",
      "league_country": "Morocco",
      "league_id": 200,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/200.webp",
      "league_name": "Botola Pro",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-06-12 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "El Jadida",
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2742,
            "best_odd": 3.36,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0157,
            "ev": -0.0198,
            "implied_prob": 0.276,
            "model_prob": 0.3333,
            "p_final": 0.2917
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.4358,
            "best_odd": 2.65,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0092,
            "ev": -0.0969,
            "implied_prob": 0.35,
            "model_prob": 0.3289,
            "p_final": 0.3408
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4256,
            "best_odd": 2.48,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0154,
            "ev": -0.1107,
            "implied_prob": 0.374,
            "model_prob": 0.3378,
            "p_final": 0.3586
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.75,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.25,
          "edge_no": -0.0138,
          "edge_yes": 0.0138,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.048,
          "ev_yes": 0.026,
          "implied_no": 0.5578,
          "implied_yes": 0.4422,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.68,
          "best_under_odd": 1.48,
          "edge_over": 0.0049,
          "edge_under": -0.0049,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0111,
          "ev_under": -0.0661,
          "implied_over": 0.3641,
          "implied_under": 0.6359,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.17,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.026,
      "confidence": 3.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 3.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.456,
          "draw_prob": 0.3289,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3378,
          "over_prob": 0.369,
          "total_xg": 2.17,
          "under_prob": 0.631,
          "xg_diff": 0.01
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.026,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.4422,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.456,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0154,
          "ev": -0.1107,
          "implied_prob": 0.374,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.3378,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Difaa EL Jadida"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0138,
          "ev": 0.026,
          "implied_prob": 0.4422,
          "model_prob": 0.456,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0049,
          "ev": -0.0111,
          "implied_prob": 0.3641,
          "model_prob": 0.369,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1550843,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.026,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3333,
        "draw": 0.3289,
        "home": 0.3378
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
        "home": "Difaa EL Jadida"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1550843,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T16:59:31.272270+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Botola Pro Botola ProClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Maghreb Fès 10 5 5 0 20
2 Wydad AC 8 6 2 0 20
3 Raja Casablanca 9 5 4 0 19
4 FAR Rabat 8 5 3 0 18
5 CODM Meknès 10 4 4 2 16
6 Hassania Agadir 10 4 1 5 13
7 Difaa EL Jadida 10 3 4 3 13
8 Olympique Dcheïra 10 3 3 4 12
9 Ittihad Tanger 10 2 6 2 12
10 Renaissance Berkane 6 3 2 1 11
11 Kawkab Marrakech 9 2 2 5 8
12 FUS Rabat 10 2 2 6 8
13 CR Khemis Zemamra 9 2 2 5 8
14 UTS Rabat 11 0 7 4 7
15 Yacoub El Mansour 10 1 3 6 6
16 Olympique Safi 8 1 2 5 5
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Maghreb Fès 10 15 4 +11 20
2 FAR Rabat 8 14 1 +13 18
3 Wydad AC 8 14 5 +9 20
4 Renaissance Berkane 6 13 7 +6 11
5 Raja Casablanca 9 11 2 +9 19
6 Hassania Agadir 10 10 14 -4 13
7 FUS Rabat 10 10 15 -5 8
8 CODM Meknès 10 9 8 +1 16
9 Olympique Dcheïra 10 9 11 -2 12
10 Ittihad Tanger 10 9 12 -3 12
11 Yacoub El Mansour 10 9 15 -6 6
12 UTS Rabat 11 9 16 -7 7
13 Kawkab Marrakech 9 8 9 -1 8
14 Difaa EL Jadida 10 7 11 -4 13
15 CR Khemis Zemamra 9 6 14 -8 8
16 Olympique Safi 8 6 15 -9 5