Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Santa Cruz RS Dibujar ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.29
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Santa Cruz RS 2–2 Gramadense
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "4cb9c787ac6f479cffabc2483e540c11ac5dd8adae3737ce460768698e2765a7",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.28,
"away_win_prob": 0.3424,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.92,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.37,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.77,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.32,
"home_win_prob": 0.3611,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Santa Cruz RS or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Santa Cruz RS"
},
"away_xg": 1.28,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Santa Cruz RS",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.032,
"edge_gap": 0.0185,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3929,
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 34.2,
"draw": 29.7,
"home": 36.1
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.29
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.29,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Santa Cruz RS Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.55,
"market_odds": 2.29,
"model_odds": 2.77,
"overround": 11.1,
"prob_edge": -7.6,
"value_pct": -17.3,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 2,
"away_failed_to_score": 0,
"away_played": 5,
"away_score_rate": 72.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 0,
"home_failed_to_score": 0,
"home_played": 5,
"home_score_rate": 73.3,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.28,
"home_expected": 1.32,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Santa Cruz RS or Draw",
"prob": 65.7
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Santa Cruz RS or Gramadense",
"prob": 70.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Gramadense",
"prob": 63.8
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Santa Cruz RS or Gramadense",
"pick_prob": 70.3
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 34.2,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 36.1,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Santa Cruz RS"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.6,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": -17.3,
"implied_prob": 43.7,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Santa Cruz RS Win",
"model_prob": 36.1,
"odds": 2.29
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Gramadense",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Santa Cruz RS",
"largest_move_kind": "ou_o",
"max_abs_move_pp": 3.11,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.29,
"gap_pp": -3.2,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 36.09
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 29.03,
"gap_pp": 0.64,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.68,
"gap_pp": 2.56,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 34.24
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 40.99,
"gap_pp": 7.21,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 59.01,
"gap_pp": -7.21,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.29,
"early": 2.3,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.29,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.64,
"implied_early_pct": 38.66,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.1,
"early": 2.96,
"implied_closing_pct": 29.03,
"implied_delta_pp": -1.01,
"implied_early_pct": 30.04,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.84,
"early": 2.84,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.68,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.38,
"implied_early_pct": 31.31,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.26,
"early": 2.41,
"implied_closing_pct": 40.99,
"implied_delta_pp": 3.11,
"implied_early_pct": 37.89,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.57,
"early": 1.47,
"implied_closing_pct": 59.01,
"implied_delta_pp": -3.11,
"implied_early_pct": 62.11,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": false,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 7.2,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.32,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2037,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -20.4,
"text": "-20.4%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.1445,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 14.4,
"text": "+14.4%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1445,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10280.05,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.205,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 20.5,
"text": "+20.5%"
},
"ev_under": -0.223,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -22.3,
"text": "-22.3%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.205,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10184.5,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1316,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -13.2,
"text": "-13.2%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3929,
"max_ev": -0.0688,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -6.9,
"text": "-6.9%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"side_label": "Santa Cruz RS",
"sort_key": 1782.8,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "1/11",
"alert_breadth_note": "1/11 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +3.3%",
"alert_team": "Gramadense",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 3.2,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -3.18,
"hero_label": "Santa Cruz RS",
"market_prob_pct": 39.3,
"market_team": "Santa Cruz RS",
"model_prob_pct": 36.1,
"model_team": "Santa Cruz RS",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 8,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.18,
"fair_prob": 36.11,
"label": "Santa Cruz RS",
"market_prob": 39.29,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.62,
"fair_prob": 29.65,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 29.03,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.56,
"fair_prob": 34.24,
"label": "Gramadense",
"market_prob": 31.68,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.03,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 38.17,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.03,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 61.83,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 9.16,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 45.34,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -9.16,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 54.66,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": -3.18,
"fair_prob_pct": 36.11,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Santa Cruz RS",
"market_prob_pct": 39.29,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Gramadense"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 3.18,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Santa Cruz RS",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 39.3,
"model_prob_pct": 36.1,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable prediction",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "Both lean Santa Cruz RS, but the market prices them higher (39.3% vs model 36.1%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -3.18,
"hero_label": "Santa Cruz RS",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Gramadense odds lengthened \u2191 +3.3%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, Gramadense has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.3%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (1/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"However, Gramadense has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.3%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (1/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"At the same time, Gramadense has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.3%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (1/11), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 3.18,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 1.9 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 1.9,
"max_prob_pct": 36.1,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.18,
"fair_prob_pct": 36.11,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Santa Cruz RS",
"market_prob_pct": 39.29,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.62,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 29.03,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.56,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.24,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Gramadense",
"market_prob_pct": 31.68,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Santa Cruz RS (39.3%).",
"Gramadense has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2191 +3.3%, 1/11).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Santa Cruz RS, Market \u2192 Santa Cruz RS, Recent sharp money \u2192 Gramadense.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 43.67,
"closing_odds": 2.29,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 43.67,
"entry_odds": 2.29,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 1,
"books_total": 11,
"breadth_display": "1/11",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.1,
"move_context": "Sharpest sharp-led move",
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.3%",
"move_pct_abs": 3.3,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 12h",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on Gramadense (swing 3.25 \u2192 2.84 \u2192 3.10) \u2014 net 3.3% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "3.25 \u2192 2.84 \u2192 3.10",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 12h",
"pick_team": "Gramadense",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.25"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.84"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.10"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,6.9 28.0,18.0 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "volatile",
"sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing"
},
"open_odds": 3.0,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Gramadense",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 8,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "1/11",
"current_odds": 3.1,
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.3%",
"open_odds": 3.0,
"pick_team": "Gramadense",
"steam_score": 8,
"steam_team_name": "Gramadense",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 3.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 25079,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/25079.webp",
"away_team_name": "Gramadense",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1544591,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_id": 16479,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16479.webp",
"home_team_name": "Santa Cruz RS",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 1158,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/1158.webp",
"league_name": "Copa Ga\u00facha",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-17 18:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4327,
"best_odd": 2.84,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0111,
"ev": -0.0688,
"implied_prob": 0.3168,
"model_prob": 0.3424,
"p_final": 0.3279
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2971,
"best_odd": 3.1,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0019,
"ev": -0.0943,
"implied_prob": 0.2903,
"model_prob": 0.2967,
"p_final": 0.2922
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4284,
"best_odd": 2.29,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0137,
"ev": -0.1316,
"implied_prob": 0.3929,
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"p_final": 0.3792
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.75,
"best_yes_odd": 2.1,
"edge_no": -0.0916,
"edge_yes": 0.0916,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2037,
"ev_yes": 0.1445,
"implied_no": 0.5466,
"implied_yes": 0.4534,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.5,
"best_under_odd": 1.5,
"edge_over": 0.1003,
"edge_under": -0.1003,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.205,
"ev_under": -0.223,
"implied_over": 0.3817,
"implied_under": 0.6183,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.205,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2967,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3609,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.04
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0137,
"ev": -0.1316,
"implied_prob": 0.3929,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Santa Cruz RS"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0916,
"ev": 0.1445,
"implied_prob": 0.4534,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1003,
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3817,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1544591,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.205,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3424,
"draw": 0.2967,
"home": 0.3609
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3817,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3817,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Gramadense",
"home": "Santa Cruz RS"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.078753,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1445,
"implied_prob": 0.4534,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1544591,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T18:01:12.311099+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Santa Cruz RS & Gramadense!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
